https://www.pickmonitor.com/user/Egghander

Hopefully I can avoid following the trail blazed by NSFU.

https://www.pickmonitor.com/user/Donttrustbabs

That's for cfbhunch

El D, In trying to maintain the high standards that babs has displayed, I must remind you that before you fixed my account, I have hunched one game and lost so I really have 18 pick and another -1 units. Don't want any beoofynning & whinnying when I make an epic comeback.

Red,

Thanks for your 100% transparency.

I don't know how Jim is so bad at this. I have a 35% win rate and am +units. How does he win over 50% of the time and lose money?

I'm reading Chad Millman's "The Odds" at the moment. I bought it when I got a call offering an interview to work in a sportsbook off-strip. It's a really good read but it has not endeared me to the life of professional hunch-capping or bookmaking whatsoever.

Careful there, fuluck!

Are you in possession of a highly sophisticated algorithm?

I've picked nothing but underdogs.....

Haters gonna hate

Oh man we missed out on his AMA. https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbooke...ut_the_sports/

Or was that ADR?

Banned,

lol, he posted that picks in that account aren't actual capped picks of his that should be taken seriously.

It's like he's proving to himself that a coin is better than his "capping" ability!

lol hunchers. I had VT -7 and VT over 34.5…
fear the buckster!!!
Remember what Ben Crenshaw said, many years ago before the last round of the Ryder Cup……… never mind y'all aren't old enough….
bunch of nose-picking, armpit sniffing, basement dwelling penetrates...

Holiday hunchers,

Rules clarification question.

I had cavs -6.5.

They were up 101-83 after 3, and ended up winning 124-118.

Even if PM grades it a "loss" I assume we can all agree that is really a win, right?

Woops

Truer words have never been said about this group

You should probably get a push out of it. That was just bad luck.

El D,

I'm thinking of going tout with this account, so I need some picks to show we've been doing this for years.

Thanks for understanding, unlike that penetrate Patrick.

CFB Hunchers:

First game going off today. Get your first picks in before Orange Bowl starts!

Last minute signups from regular hunchers/flippers still accepted!


Contest:
NCAAF big six/playoff challenge hunch. $50 winner-take all. 20 picks total. 2 picks each on the non-playoff bowls. 4 picks each on semis and championship. Any normal pick available on these games (o/u, team totals, moneyline, quarter/half bets, etc).

Hunchers:
fuluck
red
soup
Howard
ec
El D

PAYOUT: $300 winner-take-all

Games for hunch A (All times Eastern):

2 picks each on these 4:

Dec. 30

Capital One Orange Bowl
No. 6 Michigan vs. No. 11 Florida State
8 p.m., ESPN
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Fla.

Jan. 2

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
No. 15 Western Michigan vs. No. 8 Wisconsin
1 p.m., ESPN
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwestern Mutual
No. 9 USC vs. No. 5 Penn State
5 p.m., ESPN
Rose Bowl, Pasadena, Calif.

Allstate Sugar Bowl
No. 14 Auburn vs. No. 7 Oklahoma
8:30 p.m., ESPN
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans


4 picks each on these 3:

Dec. 31

College Football Playoff semifinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
No. 4 Washington vs. No. 1 Alabama
3 p.m., ESPN
Georgia Dome, Atlanta

College Football Playoff semifinal at the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl
No. 3 Ohio State vs. No. 2 Clemson
7 p.m., ESPN
University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Ariz.

Jan. 9

College Football Playoff National Championship
8 p.m., ESPN
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Fla.

Christmas Week Hunchers:

Contest:
Wide open Christmas week hunch (25 picks). $50 or $100 contest. 1st, 2nd, and SECOND FROM LAST will pay. Games starting Sat Dec 24 through Sun Jan 1, and must complete by Jan 2 (all times Pacific). Any pick available on PM with odds between -1000 and +1000. That's it for rules. Standard penalties for invalid odds or date picks.

Hunchers:
Yak $100 8.56 (21)
samuri $100 5.47 (22)
soup $100 2.42 (16)
El D $100 1.62 (24)
ec $100 .8 (7)
fuluck $100 .13 (21)
Banned $100 0 (0)
sak $100 0 (0)
red $100 -1.03 (20)
owster $100 -1.04 (24)
BigToe $100 -1.18 (12)
GM $50 -1.4 (25) plus a million penalties
Howard $100 -2.65 (24)
oT $50 -6.05 (13)

Soup's calc includes +2.63 units +3 picks adjustment due to him being a dumbass.

PAYOUTS (70% / 20% / 10%)

PAYOUT A ($700 total payout for $50 entrants, oT and GM):
$500 first
$150 second
$50 second to last

PAYOUT B ($600 add'l payout for $100 entrants)
$400 first
$100 second
$100 second to last

TOTAL POSSIBLE PAYOUT for $100 entrants:
$900 first
$250 second
$150 second to last

Thanks for the update El D, I had 23 games at that point due to PM not updating 2 of them in my total picked number it seems, going to have a look at what happened there. Looks like 1 of my last two picks from that point on has been postponed to an unknown time due to fog (lolengland) and one was lost putting me at 7.56 with 1 pick to go (if indeed the postponed one will be cancelled which Im expecting tbh). This post is just an estimate obv and Ill refer to my PM account for anyone who wants to know anything for sure . Might become a sweat samuri o_O.

Edit; upon review I see that the postponed pick is noted like this (a push/void ?);
12/30/16 8:45PM [255] Brighton (ENG-Cham) -0.5 -166 1 0

Should I considered that pick still made or do I replace it with another one ? IMO I'd guess replace it with another pick but that may be unfair to other contestants as I just keep #winning. YKWIM ???

Also, my totals have been updated just now so if I need to make another pick that will bring my total to 26 FYI.

I can't count and made too many picks. Given that it is still before the game starts, I would choose to void the 2nd quarter pick of Fl State Michigan. I would assume that I will have finally earned my penalty and frankly I think I might deserve to be considered the new Howard.

Yak,

Is this standard soccer betting policy? (from Pinnacle)
Basically, if your pick is one that would be voided by standard rules, then you should make another pick.

If it's one that might still go off and be graded based on result, then it counts as a pick.

Ok thats clear, the game will not start on the same day and I've done some googling on how PM handles this and it looks like it has been voided so I will make one more last pick, seems like the fair thing to do anyway.

Pick made (non-random, lolme), GL Samuri .

I am pleased to report a total lack of penalties so far in either of these contests.