I think it's pretty silly that Josem still thinks it's just 50/50 between a lot or zero.
https://www.reddit.com/r/askscience/...ocean/c4396zy/
He posted an example from a text book that is basically what we want:
From those equations, you have to substitute in the new right parameters:
I = 30,000 A, current in a lightning strike
dr = 0.5 m, shortest dimension of a whale (the diameter)
R = 500 ohms, skin resistance in salt water
Pgr = 0.2 ohms per meter, the conductance of salt water
D = distance from the lightning strike to the whale
Now plug in for the final equation here:
At D=2 meters, you get i = 0.2A, which is the high end of what it takes to kill a human. At D=1, it's an amp.
I see no reason lightning would be less likely to strike a meter or two away from a whale than anywhere else. This supports the idea that the whale would have to be at the surface to be killed, and it would have to strike very close, but over all this time random chance is going to get a few.