Quote:
Originally Posted by TheJacob
Because logic dictates these numbers are misleading. If the vaccine is 80% effective and most states are ~50% vaccinated. Then you should be looking at what?
~85-90% of cases in unvaccinated?
You're treating this as if it were a study where the proportion of vaxxed and unvaxxed people are controlled for, and everyone is tested whether symptomatic or not.
Think about the denominator in the chart I posted - it's everyone who tested positive in the state:
- First, it will have anyone who is sick enough to get tested at the hospital (which will be 95%+ unvaxxed).
- Second, you will have some of the symptomatic infections, since not all get tested.
- And finally you'll get very few of the asymptomatic infections, since those rarely get tested.
So when 100% of really sick people get tested, and very few asymptomaic breakthrough infections get tested, and vaxxed people tend to have milder symptoms and stay out of the hospital - then yeah of course the % of unvaxxed who test positive is going to be super high.
And even if it was 85-90% - does that change anything wrt to the big picture? vaxx-deniers like ADP always want to nibble around a few % points and then go "Aha! Some number is slightly off (which again is far from certain). Therefore everything else can be thrown out, and I can believe whatever I want!"
Last edited by suzzer99; 08-13-2021 at 05:03 PM.