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The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN.
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08-13-2021 , 01:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99
I think they don't report vaxx status. MO is there.

Yeah I missed them, and yes apparently 15 states aren’t reporting this including Florida and Texas.

Seems like a compelling reason to get vaccinated.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 01:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by filthyvermin
Anyone who believes these numbers should be disqualified from discussing Covid and the vaccines. Completely untethered to reality
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 02:15 PM
Texas and Florida make up 40% of New cases. Some more fake numbers

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/...spitalizations
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 02:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by APD0290
Anyone who believes these numbers should be disqualified from discussing Covid and the vaccines. Completely untethered to reality
Why do you say that? Do you have a better source?
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 02:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Didace
Why do you say that? Do you have a better source?
Don't encourage him to post more.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 02:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Didace
Why do you say that? Do you have a better source?
https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-1...ugh-cases.html
Quote:
As of May 1, 2021, CDC transitioned from monitoring all reported vaccine breakthrough cases to focus on identifying and investigating only hospitalized or fatal cases due to any cause.
It's likely just due to the difference in reporting a positive case based on vaccination status, which started in May. They're going out of their way to not find positive cases in vaccinated people, while also administering as many tests as possible on unvaccinated people.

This is evident not only from the CDC's statement, but also just from observing rules at workplaces regarding testing requirements for unvaccinated vs vaccinated.

These numbers are so many standard deviations different from every other country that there's a 0% chance they're factual.

At best it's manipulation of data, at worst it's outright lies
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 03:13 PM
The mental gymnastics required at this point to still be a vaxx denier. Is Shuffles still posting anti-vaxx nonsense or has he moved onto arguing that this was made in the Wuhan lab?
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 03:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by filthyvermin
Quote:
Originally Posted by APD0290
Anyone who believes these numbers should be disqualified from discussing Covid and the vaccines. Completely untethered to reality
The worst part about the current state of affairs(in USA, but also elsewhere) is that any and all information, no matter the source or the accuracy, can just be hand-waved away with a simple 'FAKE NEWS' and that's that. Actual truth no longer means anything.

It's all so tiresome.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 03:28 PM
"Just look it up!"
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 04:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by filthyvermin
What are we doing wrong in AZ?
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 04:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Didace
Why do you say that? Do you have a better source?
Because logic dictates these numbers are misleading. If the vaccine is 80% effective and most states are ~50% vaccinated. Then you should be looking at what?

~85-90% of cases in unvaccinated?
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 04:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheJacob
Because logic dictates these numbers are misleading. If the vaccine is 80% effective and most states are ~50% vaccinated. Then you should be looking at what?

~85-90% of cases in unvaccinated?
You're treating this as if it were a study where the proportion of vaxxed and unvaxxed people are controlled for, and everyone is tested whether symptomatic or not.

Think about the denominator in the chart I posted - it's everyone who tested positive in the state:
  • First, it will have anyone who is sick enough to get tested at the hospital (which will be 95%+ unvaxxed).
  • Second, you will have some of the symptomatic infections, since not all get tested.
  • And finally you'll get very few of the asymptomatic infections, since those rarely get tested.

So when 100% of really sick people get tested, and very few asymptomaic breakthrough infections get tested, and vaxxed people tend to have milder symptoms and stay out of the hospital - then yeah of course the % of unvaxxed who test positive is going to be super high.

And even if it was 85-90% - does that change anything wrt to the big picture? vaxx-deniers like ADP always want to nibble around a few % points and then go "Aha! Some number is slightly off (which again is far from certain). Therefore everything else can be thrown out, and I can believe whatever I want!"

Last edited by suzzer99; 08-13-2021 at 05:03 PM.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 05:31 PM
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 05:50 PM


More data to handwave away.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 05:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99

More data to handwave away.
Don't fret. They're up to the challenge.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-13-2021 , 09:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by that_pope
What are we doing wrong in AZ?
I assume due to the older population akin to FLA? I'd guess unhealthy states would also have higher numbers. Could be some other weird environmental factors that no one will ever figure out at play too? (water air heat etc)

Quote:
Originally Posted by APD0290
Anyone who believes these numbers should be disqualified from discussing Covid and the vaccines. Completely untethered to reality
The mind numbing irony and the basic meme status of this type comment that follows 95% of all denier posts represents a level of cognitive dissonance that doesn't seem to leave any middle ground, at all. Living in Canada these people are rare. Dealing with them on a day to day basis would leave me to close to postal. I'd probably just keep speaking my mind, until I got punched, of course. lol.


I just looked up cognitive dissonance to make sure my understanding/usage was correct. It could have been 40 years of incorrect usage but this was the 3rd link from google. ha (great read)

Quote:
The Role of Cognitive Dissonance in the Pandemic
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/ar...ndemic/614074/
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-14-2021 , 07:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suzzer99


More data to handwave away.
Of course it's always good to have proper studies, but I feel we knew this from the first wave reports from NYC paramedics going house-to-house on double/triple shifts attending "cause of death: cardiac arrest" over and again.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-14-2021 , 10:01 AM
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles...21.710010/full

Quote:
Second, we propose that these results help explain why there is an apparent age-dependent outcome following SARS-CoV-2 infection (1–3). There are many exceptions to this observation, as disease is seen in these younger age groups, but at a much lower incidence than the life-threatening disease often seen in adults (24, 25). While younger individuals may still possess immunity from childhood vaccinations, older adults can mount an adaptive immune response to SARS-CoV-2 following poliovirus re-immunization. Without IPV or OPV boosters, older adults may remain at higher risk of severe disease and mortality (2, 26, 27). This retrospective study provides a preliminary understanding of the role poliovirus vaccination has in inhibiting viral replication of SARS-CoV-2. We are currently conducting a larger clinical trial (NCT04639375) to provide deeper validation of the potential utility of the safe and effective poliovirus vaccine as a prophylactic measure against COVID-19 infection (28).

The poliovirus vaccine poses minimal risk. The World Health Organization recommends poliovirus vaccine boosters for adults traveling to high-risk zones of polio infection (31). In comparison to other vaccines that are currently being tested for COVID-19 prevention, poliovirus vaccines, both IPV and OPV, are readily available with prior pharmacological, toxicity, chemical, manufacturing, and control data. Possible risks have been studied for over 60 years and all processes have been well-documented and established. Given the current climate of vaccine hesitancy with the COVID-19 vaccine roll-out, and projected vaccine shortage across the globe, the results reported here suggest more attention should be given to a vaccine that 90% of the world's population received as children. While these data show proteins other than “spike” proteins, such as RdRp, may be suitable targets for immunity and vaccine development, IPV may also be used to complement the new Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) COVID-19 vaccines, to further boost immunity and enhance the population's health. The results described here could be strengthened by additional studies performed in multiple countries—including low-income countries—to explore any possible variation in CPE of sera, especially among countries that administer OPV, compared to those that utilize IPV for childhood vaccinations.

This retrospective serological study demonstrates poliovirus vaccination produces antibodies that inhibit RdRp function, thereby preventing viral replication that may cause disease progression in infected individuals. Based on these laboratory findings, we conclude polio-vaccinated individuals (children or adults who have recently been immunized with IPV) may have a high level of protection against COVID-19 that non-inoculated individuals do not have.
Interesting - a recent polio vaccination may help against covid.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-14-2021 , 10:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Everlastrr
I assume due to the older population akin to FLA? I'd guess unhealthy states would also have higher numbers. Could be some other weird environmental factors that no one will ever figure out at play too? (water air heat etc)



The mind numbing irony and the basic meme status of this type comment that follows 95% of all denier posts represents a level of cognitive dissonance that doesn't seem to leave any middle ground, at all. Living in Canada these people are rare. Dealing with them on a day to day basis would leave me to close to postal. I'd probably just keep speaking my mind, until I got punched, of course. lol.


I just looked up cognitive dissonance to make sure my understanding/usage was correct. It could have been 40 years of incorrect usage but this was the 3rd link from google. ha (great read)



https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/ar...ndemic/614074/

In real life you’re not running into these people and if you do they’re not spewing this nonsense at at the bar or work break room.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-14-2021 , 12:54 PM
Cases and hospitalizations spiking in Oregon, a (relatively) highly-vaccinated state. Not sure what percentage of the hospitalized were vaccinated.

I think we can say pretty confidently that a)the vaccines are effective at preventing hospitalization and death, but b)they are not as effective at preventing Delta, especially 6+months post-vaccine.

Which means the CDC and FDA need to move on boosters for all elderly people, not just the immunocompromised. The vaccinated elderly, especially those who got vaxxed back in Jan/Feb, are still at risk from Delta.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-14-2021 , 01:02 PM
Eastern Oregon, and some of the exurbs of Portland are crazy right-wing. I wouldn't be surprised to find out they're driving the hospital surge.
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-14-2021 , 01:12 PM
Eastern, Southern, and parts of Central Oregon are Trump Country. A lot of qderps are getting on school boards in those areas.


Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-14-2021 , 03:03 PM
I have no idea what to make of this from a statistical perspective, but doesn't it seem weird to have a sea of articles based on a study that isn't even in pre-print saying ivermectin has "no effect" when that isn't even what the little data they did release says?

Also, the same group that did that trial tweeted this article out: https://nationalpost.com/health/inex...ed-trial-finds
The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote
08-14-2021 , 04:28 PM
Only the best!







The Coronavirus Prep/Sweat Thread Part Omicron: Winter is coming AGAIN. Quote

      
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