Clear forceful messaging from our leadership would really really help on this. At least it seems to be headed in the right direction and starting to pierce through to the masses.

A lot of people are doing this. Lots of NY & NJ plates reported. They have every right to too, but they are going to throw off the off-season equilibrium, and it will take almost nothing to overload MV medical capabilities.

Who are very likely going to be fighting over the available respirators in a month and freaking out.

A full workday. Not overnight, although we would leave them overnight when the older one was 11 and the younger one 9.

My sister's MIL's timeline a week ago was all about media panic and just turn off the TV. This week her only post is someone tested positive at her church in FL.

100 Mile Wilderness sounds like a good place to hole up for a year or so - finally work on that novel.

I walked to school by myself as young as 1st grade and full time from 2nd grade on. Had to cross a busy 4 lane road at rush hour in Kindergarten. My grandpa was supposed to help me where I would meet up with other kids. But he was a drunk and sometimes the other kids weren't there.

In 4th grade I was taking the KC Metro bus system across the city to go to school - which is actually pretty safe if you just sit by the driver. But transferring buses downtown was a little dicey. The school saw me waiting at the regular bus stop one day and shut it down.

Might not be a option soon

most retirees/semi retiree Hamptons types I work with either already GTFO and hunkered down in their country houses or are planning to do it with quickness

Walking a dog alone seems fine. If not, then we’re about to be in. B-Hollywood movie soon.

I'm not flying anywhere for the forseeable future. I'd rather drive 3000 miles.

I've read a number of things - including this very smart guy - which suggest there are conditions (like summer weather) where the virus could just be living in you mostly dormant - until new conditions arise.

I've always chewed my nails and cuticles until a month ago - but I almost never get sick. When I do it's almost always after I fly, or when I'm really stressed. I'm convinced I have things hanging around in me all the time just waiting for my immune system to weaken from stress - or an airplane ride to basically take a plunger to my sinuses and stir everything up.

I would think all true. FWIW they're staying on the island for a week and returning to NYC if it isn't locked down (and if it is my bro-in-law's parent's place in Conn.).

Some really good, scary information in this article.

Notes from a Convening of Experts - March 10th


There's more in the article.

Can someone explain how China has 3,189 deaths and the number of officially confirmed new cases is almost zero, yet the U.S with 1/3 of the population is forecast to end up at five hundred times that number?

I spent summers at our place in Vermont -- 75 acres or so, about two miles outside of town. i was allowed to bike into town on my own in 1973, the year i turned 10, but had to walk my bike across the somewhat busy road through town to get to the general store. I was expected to be home every day by 630 for dinner, but i often had total free reign all day -- including going up to the pond to swim with my brother or a friend.

That was a different time. We routinely picked up hitchhikers, and I hitched a few times myself in 78, 79 and 80 when i had a job in a town seven miles away not not always an easy way to get there.

i'm largely a free range parent, but our daughters are 20 and 18 now so the subject is largely moot. Older daughter is flying back from LA in a few hours and we are going on total lockdown for two weeks. one person will go out shopping every couple of days and we'll walk the dogs without coming within fifteen feet of anyone else. younger daughter is a senior in high school and i told her to read the medium.com piece. she worked out some of the math and is wholly on board with a complete lockdown.

some of her friends were bitching about not having a senior prom and she called them out for it. she totally understands that it's less about us getting it than it is about behaving in a way that benefits society as a whole. not all of us conservatives are selfish pricks, suzz.

They actually took measures to stop it, extreme measures compared to us.

suzz two days ago called, they want their multiple posts back.

for partygirluk

They lie

Have a read of this:

https://triplebyte.com/blog/modeling...tious-diseases

Juk

Edit: Sorry, didn't see your question had already been answered and the same link given...

I suspect the 1.5m figure depends upon no changes to behaviour.

Several years. MLY is a Treesong, it's all coming together now.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oxygen_concentrator

Pretty hard to get one in the UK now though - all the ones on Amazon/eBay are from China, and the ones from actual UK companies have all sold out.

Juk

There seems to be quite a bit of skepticism in the comments that this is legitimate, which would be good news.

More optimistically, it seems New York has around 500 infected, but has only reported one death (an 80+ year-old with emphysema), while New Jersey is reporting around 70 with one (50s with prior complications), possibly two deaths (they aren't sure if the second is related or not).

They've been confined to their homes, with drones patroling the streets, since January 25th. Food is delivered to homes.