Quote:
Originally Posted by Mason Malmuth
Here's another example of what the book doesn't say and how the material in the book is being mis-represented. If you follow the advice in the Harrington Cash Games books your opponent should not be able to classify your hands with such accuracy.
There are many examples in the books of checking strong hands on the flop and beyond some percentage of the time, and raising with very weak ones some percentage of the time. There's a whole chapter on "The Metagame" which includes a sample hand where Doyle Brunson takes on Daniel Negreanu and the conclusion from page 115 of Volume I is:
Mason, you are repeatedly quibbling over details while ignoring the central points of my arguments. Of course no one will know your exact distribution on the river. That is true whether you are randomizing your play or not.
The fact remains that whether playing Harrington's strategy or any other, when an opponent has shown consistent strength and you have only called down to the river, your range will be weighted towards weak hands such as draws and one pair and away from stronger hands.
The fact that you occasionally slowplay monsters does not eliminate the need to pick off bluffs on the river with marginal hands. Harrington admits as much: "You have to call some hands to establish that you can't be pushed out of a pot on the river when you don't have a premium hand." This quote alone undermines your entire argument.
Harrington goes on to say that, "Since you're going to call some bets on the river but not all, use these guidelines to weed out the situations that most likely represent a strong hand, and focus instead on spreading your calls among the more ambiguous cases." It's very clear that Harrington is arguing that since you must call some percentage of the time on the river to snap off a bluff, you should make your calls in circumstances where your opponent has checked the turn or otherwise shown weakness and fold when your opponent has shown consistent strength.
This is simply an incorrect application of the concept. Calling more often against one betting line does not make up for folding more often against another. Smart opponents are going to bluff well, meaning that they are going to recognize situations where they have shown consistent strength and where Hero is unlikely (even if it is not impossible) to have a monster holding.
Playing as Harrington advises on the river is exploitable by opponents who bluff well. You need to have a percentage of bluff catching calls on the river against each betting line your opponent takes, not simply a percentage of bluff catching calls distributed against all of your opponent's betting lines and weighted towards the more suspicious of them.
Again, HARRINGTON ADMITS that randomizing play on earlier streets does not eliminate the need to snap off bluffs on the river.
It really isn't my intention to harp on everything that's wrong with the books, but when Mason challenges me in this way and accuses me of fabricating things, I'm going to defend my original arguments. I want to emphasize again that the HOC series will on the whole be helpful to players who are new to cash games, especially those with a background in tournament poker. Aside from the exceptions I've pointed out, Harrington generally does a nice job of explaining tricky deep stack concepts clearly and concisely. He does get some of them wrong, though.
This becomes a bigger issue for more experienced players or for those who have designs at becoming very good and not just winners at the smallest stakes. Mason has essentially said here that the HOC books were intended primarily to help new players, and I think they accomplish that purpose reasonably well. However, they aren't explicitly marketed to beginners, and when writing a review, I think it's perfectly reasonable for me to discuss who I think will and will not find the book helpful and why.