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Old Yesterday, 11:01 AM   #576
Amin70
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Join Date: Jun 2017
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Re: No-Limit Hold ’em For Advanced Players by Matthew Janda Reviews and discussion

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Originally Posted by Matthew Janda View Post
It's not like it's a binary thing where MTT's go from being "profitable" to "not profitable" at some threshold. In all likelihood, each year games will become a bit less profitable if your skill remains stagnant. Hence my long winded post about what's "profitable enough" to make it worth your time, which really comes down to opportunity cost, how much you enjoy poker, what country you're from, how much you value immediately being able to earn and how much you can stomach delayed gratification, etc.
You are right there is no binary number and I asked as some pro said after 5 years online poker will not be profitable anymore, I was wondering how did the measure that!

By saying the game becomes less profitable the game becomes less profitable if my skill becomes less stagnant,
I would assume you mean if someone constantly studies the game MTTs will always be profitable!
Am I right?
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Old Yesterday, 01:37 PM   #577
Matthew Janda
 
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Re: No-Limit Hold ’em For Advanced Players by Matthew Janda Reviews and discussion

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Originally Posted by Amin70 View Post
You are right there is no binary number and I asked as some pro said after 5 years online poker will not be profitable anymore, I was wondering how did the measure that!
He pulled the number out of his ass. I say this as a guy who has both voluntarily and sometimes by request been asked to pull numbers out of his ass many times.

He doesn't know, you don't know, and neither do I.

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Originally Posted by Amin70 View Post
By saying the game becomes less profitable the game becomes less profitable if my skill becomes less stagnant,
I would assume you mean if someone constantly studies the game MTTs will always be profitable!
Am I right?
How can anyone know this?

I think it's a safe assumption that on average, players will get better with each passing year. This has happened throughout all of poker history. It's probably naive to think any game/sport will have the average professional get worse over time because technology and training improves.

Whether or not games will always run, much less always be profitable, no one knows. Maybe AI will be so good in 10 years that bots have destroyed the game online. Maybe live poker will have fallen out of flavor and now casinos only run Hearthstone: The Gathering tournaments. No one knows.
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