Quote:
Originally Posted by KnutXX
Additionally, I have been working on the test yourself exercise on p. 184 and was wondering how to calculate how much you have to win with semi-bluffs when called (nr. 6).
Sorry for double post, couldn't edit anymore
If turn comes Ad or 2d loks like BB is continuing about 70% of time. If pot on turn is 13.5 BB and we bet 9 BB in 13.5BB pot bluff has to work 9/(9+13.5) = 40% of time. It means BB has to fold 60% of time and this time he dont do it (he calls 70% of time).
If stacks are 100BB and we semi bluff we need to have at least
93.25=0.3*106.75+0.7*84.25+X*(9+9+13.5)
2.25=31.5X --> X=7% So our semi bluff would need to have at least 7% equity vs BB’s calling range to make bet profitable.
so S (stack what we have right now)=0.3*(stack we will have when villain folds)+0.7*(stack we will have when villain calls and we give up)+X*P(equity needed to capture some part of pot just to break even with this bluff )