Originally Posted by alabaro
Hi, Matthew!
I’m a newcomer in this forum. Your book is a great one for me. Thanks a lot for your work. I’ve been playing and studying NLHE from 2012 and only your book give me clear understanding of NLHE range concept. Now I strongly need your advice. Few days ago I analyzed one hand with my more experienced friends. I used your charts and equations to defend my solution, but they didn’t agree with me. Now I have to understand, I’m wrong applying concept from your great book or my friends make a mistake. It’s very important for my farther NLHE learning. Please, help me better understand your book.
NLHE zoom:
Preflop
UTG (100bb) open rise 3bb, range from charts (AA-33, AKo-AJo, KQo, AKs-ATs, KQs-KTs, QJs-QTs, JTs-J9s, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s) 13,9%
BTN (100bb) 3-bet 10bb, range from charts (AA-KK, AJo, AQo, AKs, A5s-A4s,) 3,6%
Hero is BB (100bb) and call 9bb with AsKs, range from charts “UTG vs 3-bet OOP” (KK-TT, AKo-AQo, AKs-AQs, KQs) 5,1%
UTG fold
Flop (pot 23.5 bb) Kd 3h 5c
Hero bet 15bb, your assume we should bet 38,9% for value and have ratio 2/3 value/bluff, accordingly our modified range approx (AA, KhKs, KhKc, KsKc, AhKh, AsKs, AcKc, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AhKs, AhKc, AsKh, AsKc, AcKh, AcKs – 21 combo for value; QQ-TT, KQs – 22 combo for bluff) I think there is no combo for check-call and check-raise. Is it correct assumption?
BTN call 15bb, your assume BTN should defend 66,7% and his modified range approx (AA, KhKs, KhKc, KsKc, A4s, AhKh, AsKs, AcKc, Ad5d, Ah5h, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQd, KsQh, KsQc, KcQd, KcQh, KcQs – 27 combo) I think villain has no range for raise in this case, because slowplay is much better in 3-bet pot on this texture. May be some A5s-A4s fit for bluff – raise, but I’m not sure.
Turn (pot 53.5 bb) Kd 3h 5c 4s
Hero bet 30bb, your assume we should bet 75% for value and our range approx (AA, KhKs, KhKc, KsKc, AhKh, AsKs, AcKc, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AhKs, AhKc, AsKh, AsKc, AcKh, AcKs – 21 combo for value).
ВTN goes all-in 75bb.
I assume his range approx (AA, KhKs, KhKc, KsKc, AhKh, AsKs, AcKc, and maybe A2s)
Is BTN bluffing occasionally here?
Hero range vs BTN range – 27.58% vs 72.42% (without Villain’s bluffs)
Pot odds for call 45bb/(45bb+30bb+75bb)=30% it mean Hero should call all-in and have approx 0 EV in the distance.
If Hero have exactly AsKs he reduces chance to get KK for Villain and have 2 outs to beat AA.
In this case Hero have only 16.29% (without Villain’s bluffs). I feel Hero should call all-in. Where is my mistake?
yours faithfully, Alex
P.S. Sorry for my English, it’s not my native language.