Quote:
Originally Posted by fourchins
Hi, fantastic book.
So, I am a bit confused about something...
Say for example somebody is opening the button and folding to 80% of 3bets to 9bb vs 2.5bb open, then your adjustment becomes to 3bet 100% of hands in a vacuum, but are we NOT supposed to 3b 100% of hands because then we will end up playing a style that is so easily exploitable?
It seems that your reaction per hand vs either side of an equilibrium should be very extreme right? But as a whole gameplan it should be gradually moving in one direction or another so that your own game doesnt become terribly exploitable?
Does this make any sense, or am I misunderstanding?
There are some spots where you'll see super extreme exploitable reactions. Say someone bets 1 PSB it on the river (ignore removal effects). He needs 2/3, or 66.7% of his river bets to be value bets to keep us indifferent to calling.
What do we do if he is value betting 68% of the time? We always fold all our bluff catchers (which is likely most of our range).
What do we do if he is value betting 66% of the time? We always call our bluff catchers.
Yet our opponent is playing a really balanced game even if he's value betting here 68% or 66%. I mean, that's REALLY close to optimal and I doubt many if any people get that close in practice.
But the river is extreme. Pre-flop if someone calls 3-bets a bit too much or a bit too little, your response probably won't be that far from what you think is GTO. The same hands will still be the correct hands to 3-bet even if an opponent calls slightly too much or too little. Just because someone calls 3-bets a bit too much doesn't mean you never 3-bet "bluff" 7
6
, and if someone folds a bit too much you don't stop 3-betting K
K
.
If an opponent actually folds 80% to 3-bets and won't adjust to you I would literally 3-bet him 100% of the time from the big blind. That's a silly high fold to 3-bet. But in reality even most nits will adjust.