Quote:
Originally Posted by Rainmy
Page 70
"We expect the big blind will on average lose 5.5 big blinds when the weakest 3-bet bluff in his range is called."
Under what criteria we assume this number (5.5)?
It's just a number made up when trying to model the situation. It was made back when people were folding wayyyyyyyyyy too much to 3-bets online in certain positions (at least at SSNL and MSNL).
In reality if your worse 3-bet "bluff" get called in any position I would expect your EV to be a lot higher than 5.5BB. In fact it'd probably be way, way higher, but this wasn't as well understood when the book was written. One of the reasons why 3-betting hands like AXs is so profitable, for example, is your 3-betting range is stronger than his 3-bet calling range so even when you whiff you can likely make a profitable with ATC on most board textures (though it depends on lots of stuff, like your position, his position, and your 3-bet sizing).
Also, expect your post-flop EV to increase as people call 3-bets with wider ranges, as they do now. It's much easier to defend post-flop when you fold 60% of the time to a 3-bet pre-flop than if you only fold 30% of the time.
Last edited by Matthew Janda; 11-11-2015 at 02:35 PM.