Quote:
Originally Posted by MelloDelaney
I'm talking specifically about being out of position post flop, regardless of preflop position. Should you still be positive here?
It depends which filters you run, but yes, you should be winning with hands that see a flop. If a hand doen't make money post-flop (except in SB/BB where you just want to lose less than the cost of paying the blind), you should have folded pre.
If I start with a sample of 125,000 6-max hands where I had an EV of 5bb/100, and filter simply for "saw flop=true", and set "all in pre-flop=false" in order to remove hands where I had no post-flop decisions, I did pretty well:
I'm a nit with a modicum of post-flop skill.
If I add the advanced filter "Last to act on flop = False", in order to remove hands where I was in position, then the sample size shrinks considerably, so the results are subject to a lot of variance. I still did pretty well UTG and in MP and had a positive EVbb/100 in every position:
I was confused to see 2 hands listed for the BTN, but apparently HEM gets confused when it's multiway on the flop and one of the blinds is a short stack that got all in pre. I clearly was still last to act in those 2 hands, which can be ignored. (I wish I could win at 3615bb/100 forever though!)
If you're doing very badly UTG and in MP (or indeed SB/BB) when you run these filters, the usual causes are:
* Opening too wide in those positions.
* Calling too many 3-bets when you're OOP.
* C-betting too much when you're OOP.
When I'm OOP post-flop, I do a lot of checking, and about half the time the checks are followed by folds. Many players c-bet way too often when OOP, and end up bloating pots that they are destined to lose.
Last edited by ArtyMcFly; 07-08-2020 at 06:50 PM.