Quote:
Originally Posted by wombatvvv
Yeah ... I kind of figured in the end to fold TPTK or below when they show a bit of aggression and to value bet every street if I have TPTK or better.
You absolutely do *not* need to wait for TPTK+ to value-bet every street. Thats what a previous poster meant about value-betting thinly.
These guys are calling you down with runner runner straight draws, backdoor flush draws, and pocket 2s. If you have midpair+ and the board has any draws at all, pot it or over bet it all streets. If it connects at some point and he donks out at you, believe him & fold until given reason not to. Position is also paramount because you can bet 2 streets then if the river connects simply check it and see showdown. Yes sometimes hes going to have a better pair, but draws make up the vast majority of his range.
Simply folding to their aggression is the best move readless, but you can drastically increase your winrate vs them by noting which kinds of hands they fight back with:
Will he stack off with K9 if the flop comes 972 regardless of your preflop action?
Will he re-raise with draws?
Does he play a flush like the nuts when a board has 2 pair on it?
Ie. is he aware of relative handstrength, or only that he's holding a set and a set is a monster! very likely @ the latter
Its well known that these loose passive players only show aggression with the "nuts" and that you should fold, but what allows you to trample them is when you figure out what they THINK is the nuts so you can stack off with the better hand, and don't end up folding too often.
I think taking notes on a few of his all-in pots is more valuable than a HUD vs this type of player.
ps. as the poster before me was possibly alluding to, you can play speculative hands MUCH more passively vs these types. Limp/flat SC, see the flop as cheaply as possible, and then when you do hit it watch him go all vs you for 98bb into a 2bb pot with an overpair.