If you assume you are always getting called, then yes, with your final bet you are putting 405 chips into a pot that will be 1000 chips, so you need to win it 40.5% of the time.
You need over 50% equity to value bet. That's a universal rule.
The size of the pot is irrelevant to calculating EV for a bet.
If you bet $100 with 40.5% equity you'll get $81 back for your $100 and consequently lose $19 for every $100 you bet.
This is correct. While 40.5% equity would give you breakeven to make that raise, any raise made where you win less than a dollar for every dollar risked is a mistake.
So, yes, .405% equity is the minimum equity required for a shove to be EV neutral, but it is not sufficient equity to make a shove the optimal play.
Originally Posted by au4all
You need over 50% equity to value bet. That's a universal rule.
Maybe its silly Question.
For Valuebet I need 50%+ of equity vs Villain range, its clear for me. But should I consider in Villain range: together hands which Villain plays by x/c and x/r ? For example in Flopzilla analyzes.
