Quote:
Let's say you faced a 2.5bb raise preflop and a called so 2.5 + 2.5 + 1.5 blinds so a pot of 6.5bb post-flop (everyone else folded). An opponents raise of 2.5bb (therefore 9bb in the pot) would give you pot odds of 3.6 to 1 and therefore would not be profitable.
They're betting 2.5 into a flop pot of 6.5bb which means you need 21.39% equity to call. You should have direct odds to call a flush draw even without considering implied odds.
You're either calculating equity wrong, or you're converting your odds to percentages incorrectly.
a) required equity = (call)/(pot
after you call) = 21%
b) odds to percentage: 1:3.6 => 1 / (3.6 + 1) ~= 21%
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The more complicated answer is that the raw equity of a hand is not the value of a hand.
EV considers the times you call and fold next street, the times you hit that draw and stack them, the times you hit your draw and get stacked anyway, the times you hit and get called on the turn but don't extract river, the times you call flop and turn then fold river, and everything in between.
When you read "I need 21% equity" what you should be thinking is "I need to win 21% of the value of the pot to breakeven".
Last edited by tombos21; 07-21-2021 at 09:43 PM.