Quote:
Originally Posted by Lego05
The bet is 53.7 big blinds into a pot of 78 big blinds (I think; not 100% sure that is right). Assuming that is correct, then hero is getting about 2.45 to 1. Hero needs slightly less than 40% equity to call.
I've made similar maths mistakes to ^that^ a million times. Obviously
you know how to solve the situation, and just made a mistake this time, but OP might not spot your error.
Looking at it now, it is indeed 53.7bb into a pot that will be 78+53.7+53.7 = 185.4bb if he calls. That requires equity of 53.7/185.4 to break even. So approximately 29% equity is required. I think hero actually has nearer 17% against typical ranges.
FWIW, people have started calling 3-bets and 4-bets a lot more because the pot odds are often so good that (for hands that flop well, or are already beating some Ax bluffs) it's more profitable than folding. That said,
in the micros, a 4-bet range will be heavily weighted towards QQ+/AQ+, so sticking around with a dominated queen high is suicidal. You'd actually have more equity with 65s. (I'd recommend folding that too though, in this spot. Unless villain has shown himself to be very aggro, just give 4-bets maximum credit imo, and even fold TT/99 in spots like this. It's probably OK to flat AQs and JJ, but even those are pretty dodgy).