Quote:
Originally Posted by statmanhal
Can you provide a reference or two showing mathematics debunking SPR.
I don't think it's been "debunked" as such, but solvers have shown that the SPR "rules", or guidelines, we learned several years ago are often not correct.
e.g. We were all taught stuff like "If you flop top pair with an SPR of <3, then you should be happy to play for stacks", or "Don't flat 4-bets if the SPR will be less than two, just shove pre." (GTO solutions often feature "strange" spots with really low SPRs after flatting 3-bets, 4-bets or even 5-bets.)
What actually happens at equilibrium is that some hands are +EV stack offs, given the size of the pot and remaining stacks, and others are not.
Stack-off ranges depend more upon the board texture and range vs range than just the SPR number. For example, sometimes you have top pair (or even an overpair) in a 3-bet pot with an SPR of 3, but it's far enough away from the top of your range that you end up folding it. In the old days the saying was "Always go broke in this spot, because the SPR is so low". That was wrong.
Real-life example: I hardly play any more, but a couple of days ago, I flatted a cold 4-bet with KK, then folded on the flop to a pot-sized shove, because it was close to the bottom of my range on the Axx board. A few years ago, I would have 5-bet jammed pre; a year ago, I might sigh-call the jam. Today, I call pre, then fold flop.