Hi,
I was thinking about the outs you can have on flop and turn and thought it could be much different than i learnd it.
Say you have A
K
on 4
9
3
flop, you would think you have 2 times 9 outs for making the nutflush (13-4=9 diamond cards). But is it realistic to think there are still 9 diamonds left in the deck since there are 8 players with 2 cards in hand? You can
expect these 16 cards contain a few diamonds too (9/(52-5)*16=
3.06). So a
realistic expectation would be 2 times 6 outs instead of 9 in this view, which is a huge difference!
Reasonable, right? Or why not?