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01-31-2015 , 11:06 AM
thanks Hawkins...I will try it out...
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01-31-2015 , 08:27 PM
How do I post an image in a reply to a thread from my files on my desktop?
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01-31-2015 , 08:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lukeaaaa101
How do I post an image in a reply to a thread from my files on my desktop?
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...27&postcount=3
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01-31-2015 , 09:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldschool_vegas
So I can better analyze this with math, how can I best find the answer to a question like, "How often will x opponents flop a FD on a board with two of the same suit, if all the opponents have all suited connectors in their range?".
I'd like to know the percentage for 1 opponent through 5. This question came to me, because I'm analyzing a common spot where I raise a lot in a LLSNL game, and 1-5 people come with me and I have TPTK but there's two suited on the board. I want to know what happens if I bet and someone comes along with me, and then the third suit hits the turn card.

I know stack sizes are important as well, but I need to be able to answer the first question to better calculate my EV based off different plays.
The easiest way I can think of would be to examine each of their flop calling ranges individually using Flopzilla. Then you can put in a flush completing turn and see how often they have a flush. Ignoring dead cards, Probability that at least 1 player has a flush) = 1-probability that none have flushes. So if two players have a flop calling range improves to a flush on the turn 30% of the time, they have a non flush 70% of the time. 1-.7*.7 = .51 or 51% of the time one of the two turns a flush. Might be off a bit because if one guy has two non diamonds the other has more flush draws in his flop calling range.
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02-04-2015 , 06:16 AM
Is it possible to crush online NL low/midstakes (Nl200-Nl600 FR and 6max) these days? Can a world-class LAG, who perfectly bluffs and exploits opponents, achieve 10bb+ winrate?
And what about HU? How big could be en edge vs player who is in the 50th percentile?

I know that 5bb/100 at NL100+ is considered high these days. Can those stakes be crushed by very talented players given the field is relatively tough?
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02-04-2015 , 02:30 PM
I don't think there's anyone who beats 100NL or above for 10bb on Stars, and I'm not sure there's anyone who reaches 5bb on 200NL zoom. Reg tables maybe some bumhunters/people with mega-fast scripts.
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02-04-2015 , 05:38 PM
I am new to the forums ... How long does it take to get PM's unlocked ?
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02-04-2015 , 05:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheDefiniteArticle
I don't think there's anyone who beats 100NL or above for 10bb on Stars, and I'm not sure there's anyone who reaches 5bb on 200NL zoom. Reg tables maybe some bumhunters/people with mega-fast scripts.
Is it ok with the terms and conditions to use scripts?
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02-04-2015 , 06:43 PM
Yes, unfortunately.
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02-04-2015 , 08:38 PM
On the flop I do a continuation bet but at the turn it fails connect with anything. There is no straight or flush or pairs of any kind. Assuming I am in the later position and others have bet, should I just call or fold? Assuming I am holding something like KAs.

Last edited by thequest; 02-04-2015 at 08:49 PM.
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02-04-2015 , 08:48 PM
It depends.
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02-05-2015 , 06:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheDefiniteArticle
Yes, unfortunately.
On PokerStars

Quote:
Originally Posted by thequest
On the flop I do a continuation bet but at the turn it fails connect with anything. There is no straight or flush or pairs of any kind. Assuming I am in the later position and others have bet, should I just call or fold? Assuming I am holding something like KAs.
Depends too much on opponent(s) and the board.
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02-05-2015 , 04:52 PM
When playing cap NL and PLO games, do I base a 20 BI roll of off the cap amount or the standard 100bbs? I understand bankroll requirements differ greatly and I have a good idea of what would work for me. I just don't know if cap games swing more and still need 2000bb rolls or if you can play with 1200bbs
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02-05-2015 , 06:02 PM
Should I use a float bet only when there is one opponent?
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02-05-2015 , 09:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hawk1ns
When playing cap NL and PLO games, do I base a 20 BI roll of off the cap amount or the standard 100bbs? I understand bankroll requirements differ greatly and I have a good idea of what would work for me. I just don't know if cap games swing more and still need 2000bb rolls or if you can play with 1200bbs
20BI is too small for most games nowadays but 2000bb is far too small for cap.

Quote:
Originally Posted by thequest
Should I use a float bet only when there is one opponent?
Not necessarily.
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02-06-2015 , 12:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheDefiniteArticle
I don't think there's anyone who beats 100NL or above for 10bb on Stars, and I'm not sure there's anyone who reaches 5bb on 200NL zoom. Reg tables maybe some bumhunters/people with mega-fast scripts.
Maybe you or someone can answer this. I see 10NL, 100NL thrown around and I'm pretty certain it just means $10 and $100 are the max buy-ins respectively, 100bbs. So in this case 100NL means $.50 sb and $1 bb. And when you say someone beats 100NL for 10bb, you mean they beat it for 10bb per 100 hands, right?

So just for fun I railed a 100NL full ring game for about 20 mins and timed the average hand length - 68 seconds average from button move to button move. Based on this average it would take 6,800 seconds (113 mins) to play 100 hands. A person who beats that limit for 10bb would make $10 in 113 minutes, or $5.31 per hour. Lower than the minimum wage for all but two states that have one.

So

Even by taking the high end of performance (10bb) a player who plays one table makes less than minimum wage. So how do these players make money? Are they playing a bunch of tables and still winning, making $20, $30 per hr? That payout hardly seems worth the reward of all the hours put in studying the game and grinding up a bankroll to play at that level considering any graduate with a worthwhile degree can easily make that amount right out of school.
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02-06-2015 , 01:26 AM
Yeah, nobody plays 1 table. Most people who play professionally will be playing 1000-2000 hands an hour.
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02-06-2015 , 02:15 PM
Is 20 BI for 4NL (beginner) enough?
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02-06-2015 , 03:02 PM
Yes, so long as you move down whenever you drop below that.
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02-06-2015 , 03:04 PM
Hi, new to the forum and looking to find threads relating to "LIVE Small Stake Multi Table Tournaments". How would that be abbreviated anyway? I play two weekly tournaments at $65 buy in and roughly once monthly at $130. Looking to improve. Need advice where to start posting. Thanks.
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02-06-2015 , 06:56 PM
Does playing the player by Ed Miller apply on online poker too? (it's a book for live poker)
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02-07-2015 , 04:28 PM
Anyone know when Stars Micromillions 2015 mtt's is? Is it November? Tried the website and it doesnt say.

TIA
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02-08-2015 , 07:33 PM


What would you guys rate my winrates out of 10 (excluding 50nl obviously)?

I am playing 10nl over 25nl like 70% of the time. Should I increase this to play more 25nl?

Thanks
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02-08-2015 , 08:26 PM
You seem to be winning at 10nl over an ok sized sample with a good winrate so the next logical step should be to up your volume at 25nl, rinse and repeat if you post some standard deviations we can find out how likely it is you are actually a losing player.
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02-08-2015 , 08:46 PM
I am not quite sure how to interpret Standard Deviation but here it is...

Also, my first 10k hands at 10nl and 3k hands at 25nl were a while ago, so I was most likely just donking around not playing optimally.

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