Quote:
Originally Posted by Dauemannen
I do have a problem with sometimes calling when I have deduced I'm probably beat, just to find out I was 100% right. Guess I gotta start trusting myself a bit more. Any views would be much appreciated, thanks in advance.
Dauemannen:
LOL, that's a problem we all know. Basically at the micros, hardly anybody is capable of making good river bluffs. So when people bet, just try to think of a hand that has you beat, see if it makes any sense with their play. If so, fold. If the 3rd flush card comes in, and they bet pot or more, they have the flush. If the board is dry, you'll usually find they are the kind that slowplays their set to the river. Occasionally, you'll have rivered a straight or something similar yourself and you CAN call (or raise). Then you'll see what they have.
The short rule is: if they bet the river big, they can usually beat one pair, so you can safely fold all your TPTK type hands.
As for your stats they look like the solid nitty TAG kind. I'm guessing you're losing money in non-showdown pots. That's OK, but there are ways to reduce these losses, by gradually making small changes to your play:
(1) Start defending your blinds a bit, especially against people who have been stealing a lot of blinds. The easiest way is 3-betting with reasonable hands. You are going to encounter truckloads of folds from the steal-raisers.
(2) Instead of check-folding small pots, take an occasional stab at a board that looks like nobody has anything.
If you do just 2 of each of these every 100 hands, you may well be successful in stealing the pot 75% of the time, adding a few bb/100 to your overall win rate.
As I have said many times before (just look up in the thread) don't go overboard with this, it's an easy route to spewing away most of your profits.