Quote:
Originally Posted by Drumao
I was trying to analyse a hand I played but I'm not sure how I count my outs in the flop.
When you're a beginner, you can't accurately estimate how much equity you have against an entire range, but it's pretty easy to count how many
outs you have
against top pair (or an overpair). With JJ on QTx, you have
2 outs to beat Qx.
If villain had made larger bets on the turn and river, I'd recommend folding, but when he bets such a small proportion of the pot you should call. He only needs to be bluffing (with AK for example) a small percentage of the time for your calls to be breakeven.
In a more typical spot, when facing bigger bets, you should rarely go beyond the turn with middle pair. To beat top pair/overpair, you're better off with a draw of some sort. Even a gutshot has 4 outs, compared to an underpair's two.
Cliffs: You played the hand pretty well, even if you didn't really understand how you were doing in equity/range terms.
EDIT: I just scrolled back up to take another look. Now I see that villain is short-stacked to begin the hand, I'd probably just 4-bet jam on him. Of course you'll run into QQ+ fairly often, but he might be min 3-betting with TT/99, or a random airball, and you're flipping with AK/AQ/KQs, so you'll probably do quite well against his range if you just jam it in pre. Jamming also removes any possibility of him bluffing you off the best hand on Axx, Kxx, Qxx flops (flops which will appear about 60% of the time when you have jacks).
Last edited by ArtyMcFly; 07-15-2017 at 10:27 AM.