Quote:
Originally Posted by Goggles Pizano
Let me preface this by saying that I'm a nit and would never have called if this had been 2 or 3 hundred. My thinking though was that there's close to $200 in the pot, I've personally got $50 already in and it's only another $65 out of my $800 to see the river.
None of this is relevant. Here is how you make the decision whether or not to call this all-in bet:
There is about $185 in the pot and it is $65 for you to call. You are getting about 2.8 to 1. Therefore you need around 26% or 27% equity to call.
2.8x = 1(1 - x)
2.8x = 1 - x
3.8x = 1
x = 0.263
26.3%
Now put your hand and your estimated range for villain into an equity calculator with that flop and turn and see how much equity you have. Against a reasonable range, you should have 26% equity with this hand.
Against just sets, top 2 pair, QJ+ and overpairs, you have 28% equity:
Board: T
2
J
*6
*******Equity*****Win*****Tie
MP2****28.31%**28.31%***0.00%*{ Ad6d }
MP3****71.69%**71.69%***0.00%*{ TT+, 22, AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AJo, KJo, QJo, JTo }