Quote:
Originally Posted by simpimnim
Let me re-phrase: on average, should we put less weight to blockers from the board than to blockers in our hole cards?
The idea being that the board has a tendency to select those who play it.
I don't think it makes much sense to even ask the question. There's no "average", as such. It's simply the case that if a particular card rank is on the board, then it removes some combos from a person's range (the 'card removal effect' is just a fact), but if they are betting and raising on that board, they are representing that they did indeed connect with it.
e.g. On a K72 rainbow board, not many hands connect, because there are no flush or straight draws, and only 9 combos of sets, often no two pairs combos (unless you're playing the 72 game, or villains limp in with K2o), and people don't play many hands with a 7 or a 2 in them, but if two players are building a big pot, then it's likely that they have at least a decent king.
Card removal simply exists. Blockers tend to be used strategically when considering make bluffs or for bluff-catching, especially on the river, when ranges have condensed more.
You can say for sure that "there aren't many playable combos containing a 4" if the board is K444, but it doesn't mean it's
impossible for villain to have quads. You have to take the action sequence into consideration too.