Quote:
Originally Posted by Ol93i
I think my game would improve a lot if I could outplay these very wide players, because their so wide it's always in my mind that they have more than likely hit.
It's a common misconception. If a player has a wide range, he's
less likely to connect stongly on the flop. He'll more commonly miss entirely, or connect very weakly, such that he folds to aggression on the flop or turn.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ol93i
Whats the percentage a player hits the flop from say a 60-75%% opening range?
You didn't say whether he open-raised or just called a raise (it seems unlikely that even a passive fish would just call with aces, for example, although I see it happen sometimes), but let's suppose that we're up against a villain that limps a 65% range that looks like 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 94s+, 84s+, 74s+, 64s+, 53s+, 43s, 32s, A2o+, K2o+, Q5o+, J7o+, T7o+, 97o+, 87o, 76o, 65o, 54o
On a random flop like J95r, only 16.15% of his range will have made top pair or better. [EDIT: I used Equilab to find out this number. Flopzilla also works.]
Compare that loose player with a TAG that opens a 14% range of 66+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, AJo+, KQo. On that same J95r flop, the tag/nit will have top pair or better 27% of the time.
If we change the flop to AT4, the tag has top pair or better a whopping 48% of the time (because so much of his range is Axs), while the loose fish who plays every single Ax hand only has TP+ 20% of the time, and the majority of his range completely whiffed.
Unless your loose opponent starts being aggressive, indicating he made a strong connection to the board, you should generally treat his range as weak and unable to withstand action.