Quote:
Originally Posted by dude45
what about in a real poker game? Also how do we get to having value more often then bluffs when we bet as its's hard to even have a VB hand. We'll get garbage a lot more then the nuts. So is it correct to bet often when you have a value hand and usually check when you have a weak hand with no showdown value?
On the flop, most of your range will consist of unmade hands, but you have a betting range and a checking range. Your bets will mostly be made with high equity hands, such as strong made hands (e.g. TPGK+) and draws. Your checks will mostly be with mid-strength made hands (e.g. middle pair) and air (that has little chance of improvement).
Since you don't bet 100% of your range on the flop (except in some circumstances), you get to the turn with a smaller number of combos, which will generally consist of roughly 50% high equity hands, and 50% low equity (e.g. a gutshot's equity drops to about 10% equity on the turn), but then you dispense with some of the weaker hands (either by not barreling, or bet-folding).
If you get your strategy correct, then you arrive on the river with a range comprised of 3 groups of hands: Value hands that want to bet and get called, hands with showdown value that will make money as check-backs but that can't get called by much worse if they bet, and weak hands that only make money as bluffs if you bet them and villain folds.
In most cases, you can't bluff with
all your air hands, so you pick the hands with the lowest showdown value (e.g. 6-high) and/or the hands with the best blockers to villain's calling range (e.g. KT can bluff a missed OESD on QJxxx, as it blocks hands like KQ). You give up with some, but
bet with a balanced range.
When you've worked out which combos are your value-bets on the river, and counted them up, you balance them by picking some airballs to bluff with. But the number of bluffs should usually be considerably lower than the number of value-bet combos. (Hence the 2:1 ratio). In most cases, you literally have to
give up with some of your air, because otherwise you'll be "over-bluffing" and your opponent will just think "This guy's a maniac that never has anything, so I'll call with any pair".
To stop your opponent thinking you're a maniac,
you build a strategy in which you have the right balance between value and bluff on every street, such that it keeps him guessing, and ultimately means that your value-bets get called enough to win decent pots, and your bluffs work often enough that villain sometimes folds the best hand. When you get the balance right, you maximize your profit.
Put it this way:
If you only bet value hands (and never bluff), like a nit, then an observant player never calls and gives you that value.
If you bet everything (including 'no hope' hands), like a maniac, then an observant player always calls with any pair (or even ace high), so the bluffs won't work.
The balanced player is kind of average. His betting range consists of value hands that want to get called, and
just the right amount of bluffs to keep his opponent guessing.