Quote:
Originally Posted by venice10
You are correct with the assumptions you put in. Now to get to a 60% success rate, both players have to fold to 3bet in these circumstances 78% of the time individually. If the button is raising 30% of the time in this situation, that means the button has to fold hands like ATs, AQo and 88 to the three bet. You're less worried about the SB because they aren't likely to be good, but they are likely to see the flop because they aren't good.
Keep also in mind that if you decide to do this a lot (which most beginners do), they're going to fold a lot less. In practical terms, if you decide to do this once in an 8-10 hour session, people won't pick up on it. If you've 3bet 5 times in the last 2 hours in the BB, they aren't going to believe you're running that good.
Yeah I play zoom, and the pool is overall nitty but blind wise people do 3bet alot wider hence why I was wondering. I do feel comfortable 4betting from CO/BTN to the blinds at times hence why I wanted to know this.
IE. CO raise 2.5bb sb calls bb raises 10bb pot is 15bb
SO if i 4bet to 24bb I risk 24bb to win 15bb 24/(24+15)=61%
Obviously zoom I dont have reads or samples sizes to ahve fold to 4bet or stuff like that but if I do get called I am IP and choose hands that do well against a 3bet 4bet flat range (Which I expect to be Strong Ax KQx 88-QQ QJs)
Is that a fair enough thought process?