lol, yes that's it. You ask how quickly variance converges and then go off on tangents about win rate in lol4K samples.
So much this

garyfelice55, I'm willing to teach you a sophomore stats class, but not for free.

You know I often think to myself these days, I don't see nearly as many 'HU4ROLZ' challenges as I used to back in the day on 2p2.

I think that should be corrected .

HU4ROLZ between either Arty and Gary or DougL and Gary. I'd say both, but since I believe they both have larger bankrolls than him, he might not have a roll left to play the second one of them with.

I mean Gary pretty much just out right stated he is better than both Arty and DougL and that his understanding of the concepts of variance, standard deviation and expectation are better than there's, despite him opening this thread entirely for the purpose of better understanding those concepts.

So it seems like a good time for HU4ROLZ.

He could just fly out here, and we could sit the 30/60 game at the Ameristar for as long as he has money. Given $2/hour food comps and reasonable restaurant choices, pretty sure at least a meal will be had out of it. People are nice. Games are good. Maybe the 50/100 will go. With two of us on the list, chances aren't bad.

I've played abut 400,000 hands at around 10bb/100. I didn't count how many flushes I made, because flushes are rare and subject to huge amounts of variance.
Speaking of variance in small sample sizes, this year, I went from 4NL to 50NL in less than 25,000 hands, because I was on a ridiculous (and unsustainable) heater.


GTO penguins are your opposition.

HU4LOLZ?

That's a sick graph

sick. I'm lucky if I hit 10nl starting from 2nl w/in 30k hands