Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Value bet Value bet

05-30-2022 , 12:00 PM
Hello, a question that has been bothering me for a long time - is value betting means hand,that has >50% equity against a call or continuation range (call + raise)? If the latter, can we just combine the call and raise ranges and calculate whether our hand has 50%+ against them?
And second question, this calculation is correct only for the river or when all-in on the flop (similar to calling)?I heard somewhere,that the minimum equity for a thin value bet on the flop is 60%+
Value bet Quote
05-31-2022 , 02:40 AM
The game doesn't really work like this, but in general we are concerned about the equity against the calling range. For example, it's completely correct to bet some hands mainly for value, and then fold when our opponent raises our bet. Obviously our stronger value hands will continue against the raise, but betting some thin value and then folding later is completely standard.

This isn't only true on the river, but earlier in the hand things are more complicated because our hand will perform differently on different runouts. So we have to account for future streets, playability, and a bunch of other stuff rather than just raw equity against the continue range.
Value bet Quote
06-07-2022 , 04:00 AM
thanks for the response.
so the answer to the first question is-yes,only against the calling range?
and the answer to the second question seems to only confirm what I wrote. These 10% additional equity are pledged (although not quite exactly) due to the reasons that you listed (+ position). It turns out that we cannot value bet thinly with 50 % and even 55% in many cases?
I have big doubts about the first question and would be glad to hear more opinions
Value bet Quote
06-07-2022 , 09:19 AM
I'm not a 'theory' guy but I do like to play on words .. Typically there are 3 reasons to bet ..
1) For Value .. meaning you have more equity in your exact holding than your opponent does in their continuing range .. Worse hands are calling most often. Yes, sometimes an opponent is at the top of their range and raise OR they will take the opportunity to semi-bluff/bluff.

2) As a Bluff .. You don't have a very good holding against the Board, but you do have a range advantage and can get a lot of their range, including better holdings, to fold most often .. or 'often enough' over time.

3) To deny Equity (Semi-bluff) .. Your holding has promise, but needs help. We bet to 'realize' our equity before we improve, which in turn can fold out better holdings now and/or provide value that our opponents wouldn't offer after/when we improve on the next street.


Betting is all about the size against this specific opponent in this exact range v range spot. But you do need to mix things up or your opponents will figure out your patterns eventually. In the same 'range' spot against two different opponents the bet size can vary quite a bit to maximize the effectiveness/goal of the bet.

Pot is 200, how much do you bet for value? How much for thin value or a pure bluff?

Again .. play on words .. but IMO you only bet for 'thin' value on the River while you bet for 'protection' on the Flop and Turn. Essentially they are the same thing where you are betting middle of range hands 'hoping' that other middle of range hands (or below) will continue .. so you pick a size where that will most likely happen and would be profitable over the long haul.

I like that you include both a % and a range consideration in your thoughts. If you are in the bottom 33% of your PF range but your opponent will continue with 90% of theirs, then you are still in a position of thin value depending on how the hand plays out and the bet sizing you use along the way.

Again, I'm a live 'off the wall' thinker. You need to take each street as it's own 'problem' and consider your options based on both what 'will' happen and what 'could' happen when action returns to the opponent.

There are times when I'm probably folding the better 'current' hand, but since I don't want to face the aggression of the next street/bet while holding the bottom of my range it's better long term to just give up now and wait for a better spot. GL
Value bet Quote

      
m