Quote:
Originally Posted by royaldan
Facing a tough, stubborn opponent. I have Jc-10c and have limped.
The flop is K-10-x with one club. It goes check-check.
The turn brings in the club flush draw.
The tough, stubborn (but not unaware) opponent bets $20 into an $18 pot.
I know she has a king with a decent kicker.
I can call, hope to hit the flush, J or 10 (13 outs?). She might pay off a middling value bet if I hit.
But ... Can I raise, say to $50 or $60.
She would have to think about what I have. I think she might fold say 25 percent of the time.
And if she calls I have my 25 percent equity or so on the river.
Thoughts?
Would say, that in these spots in general, we should generally avoid raising, when we're quite sure our opponent likes their hand.
We generally have about 30% equity or so on the call, good thing is that the draw IS a backdoor, so we're more likely to get paid off. Also, how likely will it be that we can get paid off with a river bet ?