Quote:
Originally Posted by SELFMADE
Lets say you're playing MSNL 6max deep stack, you're dealt KK UTG. You raise 5bb, everyone folds. Cutoff 3bets to 15bb. All fold. You're happen to know cutoff only 3bets with premium pairs, JJ-AA and maybe with AKs. From his range of possible hands you're only dominated by AA, you're beating 4 out of 5 of his range (JJ, QQ, KK, AK) does it mean its an easy all-in? In other words, 3 out of 5 times you'll get payed and on one time (KK v KK) you'll stay breakeven.
You're thinking about it the right way, but take note of the combinations of cards left in the deck. You have KK, so there are 6 combinations of JJ, 6 combinations of QQ, 6 combinations of AA, only 1 other combination of KK and 8 combinations of AK. You also have to think about winning chances of the various hands (you won't always win vs AK/JJ/QQ, you won't always lose vs AA)
You can use pokerstove for this:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 65.971% 64.26% 01.71% 217859136 5805990.00 { KK }
Hand 1: 34.029% 32.32% 01.71% 109565076 5805990.00 { TT+, AKs, AKo }
So you're ahead of CO's range
BTW at MSNL there's unlikely to be someone bad enough to only 3bet AA/AK/KK/QQ/JJ