Quote:
CMAR, I'm not sure your restaurant example is a good one. The obvious answer to that is to ask what cuisine the restaurant would serve and assess your personal and the social need for such a restaurant, and respond accordingly, along with advising them to seek a bank loan.
It is a great example. Every once in a while, we get someone who went to cooking school, graduated, and was a line cook in a good joint. They come here and ask if they have saved enough and have enough experience to open a in a spot where they've done market research and know that it isn't saturated. Those people we encourage to go it alone. Mostly, we get people who say "all my friends say I make good Chilli, I think I'll open a diner. Hey, are there any rules or do I just get a place and hang up a sign? I have $10K saved, should I quit my job as an accountant?" Those people get some push-back.
Poker is the same. People who have played 30 hours of live 1/2 and ran good decide they'll quit their day job. That or you have a 25NL grinder on a 14K rungood stretch. It is rare to see actual mid-stakes grinders ask these questions. They have graphs. Sometimes they wonder about BR vs. liferoll. If poker were easy enough that anyone with less than 200 hours of lifetime play could make a good living, everyone would be doing it. Poker is hard, and it is mostly harder than your day job. I don't think I could have handled doing it full time for a living. Show me that you made $50 or $75/hour playing a good sample, we'll talk BR and liferoll, and everyone will encourage you to go pro.
Quote:
I think the over/under should be 12 based on his attitude.
People having a dream is fine. They should also expect pushback when their plan to get there is close their eyes and hope. Honestly, tons of 20 and 30-something people have bad ideas about careers.
Anyone thinking about going pro should read
jessetakesashot@blogspot.com. Start from the beginning and see how hard it was for a successful mid-stakes live grinder playing in epic/soft games. Doing this at 1/2 NL -- way harder. There's also that guy in LVL forum, but he was HSNL.