Hello dear community,
I saw this hand played live online yesterday, and wanted to discuss it with fellow players, beginners to pros, to share opinions.
It was so incredible that I especially registered on the forum to discuss about it.
Here it goes:
(if you want to avoid spoilers, check the video with the link down below)
Table: 'High Roller MILLIONS $1.5 GTD [Day 1] Buy-in $525 - Blinds 2500/5000
Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Mangudai (23.6bb)
Seat 2: Down2Muck (63bb)
Seat 3: YohViral (37.9bb)
Seat 4: ArtOfWar8 (10.9bb)
Seat 6: BeerPressure (23.8bb)
Seat 7: KingfusionGG (25.5bb)
Seat 8: S Chidwick ( 38.6bb)
*** ANTE/BLINDS ***
BeerPressure posts ante 0.12
KingfusionGG posts ante 0.12
S Chidwick posts ante 0.12
Mangudai posts ante 0.12
Down2Muck posts ante 0.12
YohViral posts small blind 0.5
ArtOfWar8 posts big blind 1
Dealt to YohViral [Ad Ac]
*** PRE-FLOP ***
BeerPressure folds
KingfusionGG folds
S Chidwick bets 2bb
Mangudai folds
Down2Muck folds
YoHViral raises 8bb
ArtOfWar8 folds
S Chidwick calls
*** FLOP *** [3s Jc 2s]
YoHViral bets 5.9bb
S Chidwick raises 13.3bb
YoHViral raises 30.4bb
S Chidwick calls
....
I think it is better if you watch the video yourself :
https://youtu.be/zxmXeJj-4Gk?t=12077
Enjoy and feel free to give me your feedback so we can all share opinions.
****SPOILERS****
The analysis
I have no idea how this hand could have been played differently. They are two great players, S Chidwick play was absolutely amazing given the odds, and the [balls] to do that big stack vs big stack, in the last 10 minutes of Day 1. I have nothing to say about YohViral's play because I do think he played his Aces bad, but maybe calling the raise PF and go see a safe the turn was an option, but then again, how different would it have been for S Chidwick ?
He has 37% equity on the flop, if a brick comes on the turn, he still has 20% equity. The turn 9 does help him but not that much (25%).
Now let's talk about his raise. What I find very interesting, (besides his call PF) is his raise sizing on the flop. He raises YohViral's 5.9bb bet to 13.3bb in a 23.7bb pot (most likely thinking about calling a shove all in at this point). By sizing this much, YohViral needs to be good 16% of the time and he has 63% equity here. Suppose YohViral's has any set. YohViral is ahead 74% of the time, but S Chidwick has 25% equity which is exactly what he needs to call a shove! (what an epic play)
It is an easy call here for YohViral. But is it an easy shove though? I do not find YohViral's shove to be a gamble play because, IMO his first objective here is to protect, but I also think he could have called to have a peel, as I do not think S Chidwick was bluffing, especially at this stage of the game. (And I am sure many of us will think he could have just called, but in the heat of the moment, how many of us would have played the same ? to me this really is one of the trickiest spot I have seen in a while)
Let's say this time, S Chidwick has any set, he has YohViral drawing dead. He is 90% favorite.
After S Chidwick's raise, Yohviral shoves, giving S Chidwick 21% equity:
17.1 / (61.5 + 17.1) = 0.21
S Chidwick has 37% equity, the odds are just too good for him not to call.
The questions:
Would it have been safer here to call S Chidwick's raise on the flop, see a safe turn and then shove all in ?
or
Is it ok to re-raise PF with AA for protection ?
and
Was it foolish from YohViral to shove knowing that he could have been facing any set ?
I think I just answered my own question
, but still, I would like to have your point of view as I am sure not everybody would agree.
Thanks for the read and talk to you soon!
Ufool