Quote:
Originally Posted by Mojo757
Well my thinking is that if I manage to hit my set or nut flush , I will be more likely to cooler someone if there is 5+ people in the pot, as opposed to 2-3.
How would that happen?
Say you flop your flush (less than 1% chance IF you get to see a flop and dont get raised off your hand, which is pretty likely if you do it from EP, not to mention that your opponents will notice the limping and know what you have). There are 18 bucks in the pot and 9 players. What are you getting paid with and for how much? Someone will have a lower flush whopping 0.185% of the time (not sure if i calculated it correctly but it matches with what i found on google) if everyone limps behind, they play any two suited and its a full ring. We get a single stack 1/540 times, if they pay you off every time and you never get raised off your hand pre. Lotsa ifs here, but getting paid off by a lower flush is at least plausible. How do you make anything else pay you off if you limp and then blast for 3 streets on a monotone flop?
If you dont flop your flush, you have about 35% to hit it if you flop the draw, and about 5% if you flop a backdoor (that is, if you get to the river in both cases). How are you achieving that? Hoping that 8 players let you see the river for cheap? Trying to bluff into 8 players? Whats the plan? The more likely your opponents are to pay you off (aka they are loose), the less likely you could do either, and if you can see the river for cheap or bluff 8 players (they are nits), then you arent getting paid off when you hit it. Dont forget that you also have to get the pot from 18 bucks to whatever size your stack is to realize your implied odds.
That was only talking about the nut flush, which can be the nuts some of the time. If you flop an ace or a low set, you can also have a player have a better ace or a better set and you are the one getting stacked.
You could probably calculate the required stack depth and the frequency of getting to the flop (aka nobody has a playable hand) and the frequency of paid off that you would need to make this play profitable, but i dont think it is.
Regarding limp calling vs raising - you need a stronger hand to call (someone got a playable hand and raised) than you would need to open (non-zero chance that nobody has a playable hand and you take it down pre).