Villain's stats: 89/0 over 29 hands. The only other info is that he limped and called a raise OOP with K2o. I figured there was a good chance he had air, and that I had a lot of outs even against a set/TPTK etc, but maybe that's not true as he could have Ah or Kh, and then I'm just playing a straight draw.
Villain's stats: 89/0 over 29 hands. The only other info is that he limped and called a raise OOP with K2o. I figured there was a good chance he had air, and that I had a lot of outs even against a set/TPTK etc, but maybe that's not true as he could have Ah or Kh, and then I'm just playing a straight draw.
I think the assumption of him having air is way off. If he is playing 90% of hands then chances are he hits the board a lot.
He could have anything here, and you must gauge from his action.
He could have Axh, or any two hearts. Two pair, a set etc.
What is the best case scenario here for you? (what do you expect to be ahead of?)
Besides that, have a look at the odds you are given:
2.57:1.34 which is less than 2:1. You would need something like 38%+ equity to be calling this all in profitably against a lot of this guys hands. You are behind any measly pair, A high etc etc. You are pretty much only ahead against pure air, and even at that you have Q high! Avoid hero calls, play for clear value at these stakes.
The odds offered by a OESFD =
9 outs to the flush
6 outs to the straight (excluding the hearts already counted)
That is 15 outs (applying the rule of 4 and 2) = 30% equity
Lets say he has A high, or flopped a pair. You now have an extra 5 outs (again excluding that J heart already counted).
20 outs x 2 = 40%
Assuming he has pure air in this spot, which I highly doubt, it should be a +EV decision.
I think it is plausible for him to have a T in his hand, or an 8 with a heart or something.
Seems like a pretty close spot, but I would refrain from ever putting him on air ever with stats and assumptions that you have made.
One poker skin gives 10 points for every $1 rake paid. You get $1 cash for 30 points. The other skin gives 11.09 points for 1 Euro rake paid. You get $1 cash for 33 points. Which one is the better deal?
First question.. why is 2, 7 considered the worst hand in poker when it can at least create a straight when 2 8 and 2 9 can't...?
second question.. Why on FT anyway are all the high stakes filled with 1 player and their mostly different players, why aren't they joining those tables with a person on it. Is it seriously just to get the upper hand on the first hand?
First question.. why is 2, 7 considered the worst hand in poker when it can at least create a straight when 2 8 and 2 9 can't...?
?
72 can't make a straight anymore than 82 and 92 can. What makes it worse than 82 and 92 is that 7 is the next lowest possible ranking a card can have without it being possible to make a straight using both hole cards.
second question.. Why on FT anyway are all the high stakes filled with 1 player and their mostly different players, why aren't they joining those tables with a person on it. Is it seriously just to get the upper hand on the first hand?
Those players are waiting for weaker opponents and don't want to play each other. Some of them do sit in a seat where they know they will be dealt the button their first hand and have position on their opponent.
Those players are waiting for weaker opponents and don't want to play each other. Some of them do sit in a seat where they know they will be dealt the button their first hand and have position on their opponent.
Interesting, I wonder if they ever get a game in a day just sitting on it like that waiting. Surely inexperienced players wouldn't be anywhere near those stakes.
72 can't make a straight anymore than 82 and 92 can. What makes it worse than 82 and 92 is that 7 is the next lowest possible ranking a card can have without it being possible to make a straight using both hole cards.
They can connect with 3 4 5 6? it's not likely a board will appear like that but its still a possible straight... where as 2 8 and 2 9 cannot connect no matter what the board shows..?
They can connect with 3 4 5 6? it's not likely a board will appear like that but its still a possible straight... where as 2 8 and 2 9 cannot connect no matter what the board shows..?
They can't connect together with a 3 card straight on board like 26 could with a 345xx board. If you want to talk about possible 4 card straights on board 28 can connect with more 4 card boards - 3456 and 4567 and 9TJQ compared to 27 only connecting with 3456 (only the 7 would play) and 89TJ (again, only the 7 would play) where you have a straight that could easily be crushed by a higher 2 connected cards.
Interesting, I wonder if they ever get a game in a day just sitting on it like that waiting. Surely inexperienced players wouldn't be anywhere near those stakes.
'Inexperienced' is relative. If I sat at 5kNL HU, there would be a waiting list of 20 people within seconds.
They can't connect together with a 3 card straight on board like 26 could with a 345xx board. If you want to talk about possible 4 card straights on board 28 can connect with more 4 card boards - 3456 and 4567 and 9TJQ compared to 27 only connecting with 3456 (only the 7 would play) and 89TJ (again, only the 7 would play) where you have a straight that could easily be crushed by a higher 2 connected cards.
They can connect with 3 4 5 6? it's not likely a board will appear like that but its still a possible straight... where as 2 8 and 2 9 cannot connect no matter what the board shows..?
A straight is exactly 5 cards long so in this case only the 7 would come into play, the 2 isn't going to be used at all. Also anyone holding 78 on a board like that is making a higher straight and blowing you out of the water
72 has as much of a chance of making a straight as 82 and 92 do because since there's more than 3 cards in between them you'll only be able to use either one card or the other to make a straight
how do i post my hand sessions? i am using holdem manager 2
You can right-click a hand (or select multiples first) and 'copy' the hand(s) in their original format and then click the 'hand history converter' link in the text editor when making a new post/thread on 2+2. You can also export single hands from the HM2 hand history viewer (right-click > view) to a native 2+2 format but that won't include the 2+2 built in replayer.
What is your bet sizing on super wet flops that have lots of possible draws but also possible made straights and flushes? Let's say the pot is 6bb and the stacks 100bb.
a) 89Tr
b) 8s9sTs
b) I feel like betting pot or maybe even overbetting so combo draws can't profitably call but at the same time don't want to pay off made hands.
Last edited by Info Shove; 06-14-2015 at 11:43 AM.