First 20k hands on 5€ NL 6-handed, so I guess it's a good time to see if I'm on the right track. English isn't my first language, so please forgive my mistakes.
I used to play back in 2008 - 2012, always micro cash games. I was a slight winner but at some point I got bored and quit. Now I'm at it again and I would like to be a profitable player in the 50€ NL region at some point in the future.
Graph first:
As you can see, in the first 10k hands I was running super-good (23 bb/100 at some point). The great divergence between real line and EV line didn't come from a series obscene suck-outs by my side. I won 2 big pots as a massive underdog, but all the other all-ins have been with me starting at 79% and above. They simply held
all the times. I was well aware this isn't sustainable.
Then from hand 10k to 16k, everything that could possibly go wrong went wrong. Huge bad beats, 3-4 big pots lost with monumental mistakes on my part and generally running like ****.
Then in the last 4k hands it was just standard.
Here are the stats:
Now I'm already aware of some leaks, which I'll try to explain to see if I'm on the right track.
Overall, it looks like I'm too tight in general.
3-bet is too low: this may work at 5NL, but it will be extremely exploitable at higher levels.
Not opening enough from the BTN: it is my loosest position, as it should be, but I'm aware I should be opening way more.
Not stealing enough blinds: there's a lot of dead money to pick up with the right villains. I've been gradually increasing this for a while and I'll keep doing so.
Folding too much to blind steals: this was a massive 82 after 5k hands, 79 at 10k hands and now it's 76, so I'm gradually trying to defend more. The thing is, I'm completely averse to playing marginal hands out of position. I try to loosen up sometimes, but after a while I'm tightening up again. On one hand I find myself thinking it's not worth fighting over all these small pots, but on the other hand I'm perfectly aware a good blind game can improve the winning rate by 1-2 bb/100. So this needs some work.
Too passive on the flop: not c-betting enough, folding too much to c-bets. Again, this may work at 5NL, but it will be easily exploitable at higher levels.
Leaktracker says I'm on the lowest end of the acceptable range for flop c-bet, flop AFq and flop AF.
Fold to flop c-bet is also high-ish, but I'm working on it. It was stupid high after 5k hands (over 70) and 59 at hand 10k. Now it's 53.
Too aggro on the river: river AF is 4.52, river AFq is 53. I think this is a direct consequence of my tight preflop and flop game. When I arrive at the river I'm usually strong and I'm probably barreling too much, losing value.
Low WWSF: I didn't read much about this stat so far, but it's a bit low and it probably means I'm giving up pots too easily on the flop.
These are the things
I think need some the most work, but please feel free to point other leaks or correct my reasoning so far.