Quote:
Originally Posted by mOeeOm
First 10k hands at 25NL after comp reformat
Anyways...thoughts?
(I'm rolled for 100NL but I'm a bankroll nit, so I can give 50NL shots if everything looks good...I'll probably put in another 10k hands and if solid results move up)
Your position stats would be really helpful.
The one stat that jumps out at me is your WTSD percentage. 20.8% seems really low (my WTSD is 21.6% which I also consider to be on the lower limits)
The stat that goes with this (W$SD) is also low - you're winning fewer showdowns than your winning. This seems unusual to me; Usually I would expect that players with a low WTSD would have a high W$SD, because the hands they showdown end up being only their strongest hands - yours, however, is not following this pattern.
Still, your blueline is good, so you're managing to make the showdowns you win count (probably a sign of good pot control).
I'm having a hard time reconciling these stats and your results - for example, if you're folding people out excessively when you have strong hands (one thing that could lead to a low WTSD), I would expect that to result in a better red-line - but your red-line is quite weak. I would also expect this to result in a worse blue line, but your blue line is quite strong.
Perhaps another place to look is your Aggression percentage. This stat looks quite low to me at 36%. Your aggression factor is fairly good, however, so this may be an indicator that you're not barreling enough. Your position stats should shed more light on this. The other stats that may be helpful would be your street-by-street AF and Aggression %.
A final thought, looking at your chart - you seem to have gone through two different phases/styles of play. From hand 3700 to 9000, I'm seeing a relatively level red-line, but also a fairly level blue line, where the hands before/after this are showing a fairly negative sloped red-line but a positive sloped blue-line. These may just be statistical anomalies, but if you varied your play considerably over the measurement period, that may account for some of the confusion your stats are causing me.