Quote:
Originally Posted by LTU Westham
Ok, here is the deal. I I do not know whether I was lucky at the beginning or am I on a downswing. So, I started looking through my stats but I do not really know where loss is almost inevitable (like opening in the blinds) and where not.
Now these things are quite new for me so even though I can see that for example, i am largely losing with TPNK no draws, I do not know whether it is standard or not.
Pretty crazy graph, with a sick heater at the start. First point is that you've run a fair bit below EV in called all in situations. Most likely you had big hands cracked in a series of suckouts. You'd be winning about 1.6bb/100 if you'd run according to EV.
Playing 23/14 overall suggests you do a little too much limping or cold-calling pre-flop. This isn't necessarily terrible at the lowest stakes, but ideally you want your VPIP and PFR numbers to be closer together. The gap is especially pronounced in the blinds, and this is a really common leak, mentioned in almost every stats review I've done in this thread.
Try and
cut down the amount of times you call in the blinds. Raise your good hands, and fold the marginal ones, like KJo, ATo, J9s, 76s etc. It's really hard to make money by playing "trouble hands" OOP.
It looks like you're playing fairly fit-or-fold post-flop, with AF of 3.0. This is fine. C-betting 65% of flops is just about perfect, but I wonder if you have sizing issues (These stats don't provide those details, so I'm just guessing). If the flop is heads up and it's a dry board that you missed, a little over half pot is all you need. Don't bet too much when you have air.
WTSD is good/low at 24%. I presume you're not calling down with draws too often (another common leak).
You can probably fold more often when you get raised on the flop, unless you have a draw and the raise was a minraise. Villains are no doubt showing up with sets when you stack off with TPTK. Be more inclined to give villains credit when they raise the flop or turn. They aren't bluffing often. They can beat TPTK.
Steal percentage is great and overall positional awareness seems OK.
On to the positional report itself, and it's clear that the
big blind is your big problem. While variance certainly has an effect, losing 40bb/100 in the BB is too much. You're VPIP-ing 20% in the big blind, and getting torched. By fixing this leak and only VPIP-ing 15% of hands, your range in that seat will be significantly stronger, and will save you a lot of money. In short,
FOLD THE BIG BLIND MORE OFTEN. Look at the top 15% of hands in Pokerstove/Equilab. Anything outside of that range, you should generally be folding in the BB. Forget the "I'm getting a good price" deal. Playing oop without the initiative is -EV.
The report with the pre-flop action (facing "raiser plus caller" etc) is fairly standard. Be inclined to get out of the way with hands like AK-AJ/KQ (yes, even AK) if there is significant action in front of you. Just play pairs and go set-mining. When 2 players have already indicated they have hands, you'll be dominated very often if you call with unpaired cards.
Don't worry about losing money with one pair hands at showdown. Most players lose money with TPTK if there is a call, let alone a raise on the river, but you might want to try altering your betsizes on the final street (i.e. make them smaller) if you have one pair, to enable you to bet-fold occasionally. (Bet, but fold to a raise).
So, overall, despite the less than impressive winrate, you've actually got some good stats. Post-flop is very impressive for a relative newbie, actually. I'll just reiterate the advice about the big blind. Fold pre more often, and the profit will follow. Good luck!