Quote:
Originally Posted by AndThenWhat
But look at it this way. The hands you are putting him on, Do you really have the implied odds to call? How many times you hit one of your backdoors or gutshots will he actually call? If he is strong enough to call after you hit now you have horrible odds.
Here's the thing. Let's give you a pretty tight (i.e. strong) button raising range of something like 22+,A2s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,A8o+,K9o+,QTo+. Let's assume you only call his bet when you flop at least a pair of nines or an open-end straight draw. In this case you will be calling only 36% of the time. This means that your opponent can bet $3 here and win $4.25 64% of the time, which is an expectation of $2.72. Your opponent is almost breaking even before we've even given him any chance to win the hand when called.
The upshot of this is that you can't simply fold to bets when you dont make a pair or good draw. You have to put your opponent under more pressure than that. This assumes an opponent with any skill at all; if your opponent simply bets out with good hands and checks with poor hands, then beating him is not going to be very difficult.