Quote:
Originally Posted by sixfour
protect your stack. there is nothing wrong with waiting rather than pushing every hand where you perceive you have an edge.
you seem to be making a bunch of plays with really marginal stuff, which really needs deeper stacks to be profitable when you hit your miracle flop, and just bleeds chips away otherwise. or, if you cannot fold when jammed on, sets them on fire. if you are going to call a jam from a third party, then just 3-bet the initial raiser if you're going to take the (often correct) approach that you're a dog to the field and want to gamble it up, get a big stack that can go deep, or go home early and not waste time in a excessively long donkament just to mincash. otherwise, learn to fold. part of your problem is this:
Pot odds are around 41% and after quickly assigning him a range I roughly estimated this as a flip
you've got AT and get jammed on. AA-TT crush you. AK-AJ crush you. 99-22 is a flip. KQ/KJ/QJ you're only slightly ahead (heck, 32o beats you ~1/3 of the time). exactly how many crap aces do you think are in the opponent's range that remove all the hands that crush you and make it 50/50 (which, in a donkament, you shouldn't be massively enthused to take without a big chip overlay)? i would love to see that range. maybe if he's jamming any two?
I actually disagree with most of this, particularly the ATs hand, thats a snap call off. I also think the concept of stack preservation is overrated in MTTs, except in situations where you are near a significant pay jump (money bubble, ft bubble and FT, etc). Our goal is still the win the tournament, which means we need to win the chips. Chips gained are worth less than chips lost so we shouldn't take neutral EV spots, but we cant go around passing up marginal +EV spots either.
65o is a standard defend in the bb and then the flop plays itself.
KTs is a mix between flat and 3bet from mp vs an ep open. Id lean toward 3betting with shorties in the blinds. Once you get shoved on you need ~40%, which you probably do not have against the BB's range. KTs has 35% equity vs the top 10% of hands.
ATs is a snap call off vs a 16bb shove sb v btn unless the sb is one of the most passive villains ever. Vs a proper sb shoving range (top 25%) ATs has 53% equity, and if we tighten up to top 15%, ATs has 44% which is still plenty enough to call given our pot odds.
A key concept when shorter stacked, your implied AND reverse implied odds on hands go down. So while if you have 15bb, you can't call a raise with 76s looking to flop a nutted hand and win a 200bb pot. You CAN defend your BB with 76s (and offsuit) looking to flop a pair or decent draw and get stacks in vs a cbet (on most boards).
This also effects opening ranges, for example at 100bb stacks from EP we are folding some some offsuit broadways like ATo, KTo, QJo and adding weaker suited connectors like T8s, 87s, etc. But at 15-20bb, you drop the weak suited connectors and add more offsuit broadways.