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Help me understand "Only getting called by better hands" **NEW** legionrainfall Containment Help me understand "Only getting called by better hands" **NEW** legionrainfall Containment

05-14-2020 , 10:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by legionrainfall
Did I over bet here?
Slow play next time?

Yatahay Network - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 31 BB
BTN: 122 BB
Hero (SB): 112.5 BB
BB: 106 BB
UTG: 130 BB
UTG+1: 150.5 BB
MP: 114.5 BB
MP+1: 95.5 BB
MP+2: 107.5 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K A

fold, UTG+1 calls 1 BB, MP raises to 3.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 10.5 BB, fold, fold, MP calls 7 BB

Flop: (23 BB, 2 players) K 9 5
Hero checks, MP bets 7.5 BB, Hero raises to 26.5 BB, fold

Hero wins 36.5 BB
You probably don't want to be x/r AK here. You want to bluff this board so often that you should probably just cbet all your value just to make sure you can't get raised off your bluffs easily.
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05-15-2020 , 03:30 AM
i think the best ratio is 33 vpip and 15 pfr.

too high or too low indicating a fish stats
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05-15-2020 , 08:37 AM
33/15 is loose fish lol.
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05-15-2020 , 09:32 AM
Are you saying I should not check raise? Instead just bet so that it looks like all my other bluffing C bets? Play a more uniform style?
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05-15-2020 , 11:22 AM
Yatahay Network - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 152.5 BB
UTG+1: 177 BB
MP: 149 BB
MP+1: 100 BB
MP+2: 109 BB
CO: 100 BB
BTN: 98.5 BB
Hero (SB): 81 BB
BB: 184.5 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J T

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 1 BB, BTN calls 1 BB, Hero calls 0.5 BB, BB checks

Flop: (4 BB, 4 players) J 8 T
Hero checks, BB checks, CO bets 2 BB, BTN calls 2 BB, Hero calls 2 BB, fold

Turn: (10 BB, 3 players) 8
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN checks

River: (10 BB, 3 players) 7
Hero checks, CO bets 7.5 BB, BTN raises to 20 BB, Hero calls 20 BB, fold

BTN shows 2 9 (Straight, Jack High)
(Pre 34%, Flop 29%, Turn 18%)
Hero mucks J T (Two Pair, Jacks and Tens)
(Pre 66%, Flop 71%, Turn 82%)
BTN wins 55 BB
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05-15-2020 , 11:30 AM
OTF and OTT eh, it's okay

OTR it's definitely a fold 100%
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05-15-2020 , 11:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by legionrainfall
Are you saying I should not check raise? Instead just bet so that it looks like all my other bluffing C bets? Play a more uniform style?
As I said above, there are no draws on this board. A x- raise only gets called by good hands. You want bad to marginal hands continuing here. Xr folds out the hands you want calling.
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05-15-2020 , 11:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by legionrainfall
Are you saying I should not check raise? Instead just bet so that it looks like all my other bluffing C bets? Play a more uniform style?
Well, think about what you just said, do you think it's difficult to play against someone who check raises good hands and bets bad hands?
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05-15-2020 , 12:03 PM
The BQ mods have made this a containment thread for all things legionrainfall. As such:

(1) legionrainfall must make all his BQ posts within this thread and

(2) all other posters can choose to respond or not....but what will not be accepted is a "Oh thank God you finally did this" type post here. In doing so, YOU will receive a 7 day temp ban.
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05-15-2020 , 12:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aner0
OTF and OTT eh, it's okay

OTR it's definitely a fold 100%
Its not nearly ok on flop and turn - raise flop / bet turn big!
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05-15-2020 , 12:45 PM
Yeah it's probably better to raise, but that's not the main issue of the hand IMO and I don't utterly hate those lines (besides the call OTR)
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05-15-2020 , 02:57 PM
Ok, so don't check/raise when I have nuts.
When is a situation you should check/raise, in general?
In reverse, if someone check/raises me, he is probably bluffing and I should call? B/c if he had the nuts, he would only call.
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05-15-2020 , 02:59 PM
If i bet, everyone would have folded.
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05-15-2020 , 04:06 PM
Who cares about what people would have done this time, just play good poker and don't give a **** how they react this one time
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05-15-2020 , 04:08 PM
No, you can absolutely check raise with the nuts, but if you play every single bluff the polar opposite of how you play every single good hand, regs will eventually catch up with stats, notes, etc. and they will destroy you.
You're trying to oversimplify it and it sadly can't be oversimplified like that
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05-15-2020 , 08:13 PM
Do was my check raise bad? He folded. I skipped have called for max value?
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05-16-2020 , 09:23 PM
Legion, if you are still wondering about only getting called by better hands, I'm reading Jonathan Little - Mastering Small Stakes No Limit Holdem. He has a section about this very thing.

You raise pre with QJ, get HU, and flop AQ5. If you bet, what would anyone call with that you can beat? In Little's analysis of the Villain's range, you have about 48% equity when you bet and get called. Turn it around and ask yourself what hands you would call from OOP where you are not the preflop aggro? Any Ace? KQ? 55?

But if you check, V stay's active with a range where you are 70+% fave and you might pick up a few BBs along the way while limiting your loss if that is how it runs.
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05-18-2020 , 08:32 AM
You can get called with Q2oQT, I'd assume.
But, general rule of thumb seems to be "check if you have 2nd pair"
With hero = QJ and on flop of AQ5, the Ace will always call, and you lose.
Also, bet bigger if it's a draw board. Flop = 29Q, then bet 3/4 pot, not just 1/2.

The problem I have is fold equity.
With flop of AQ5, there is a good chance V does not have A.
So, by checking/folding your Q, you almost guarantee the V will take the pot.
I will C-bet flop with a Q, but if he calls, then I stop betting, and let V have the pot.
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05-18-2020 , 12:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DEKE01
Legion, if you are still wondering about only getting called by better hands, I'm reading Jonathan Little - Mastering Small Stakes No Limit Holdem. He has a section about this very thing.



You raise pre with QJ, get HU, and flop AQ5. If you bet, what would anyone call with that you can beat? In Little's analysis of the Villain's range, you have about 48% equity when you bet and get called. Turn it around and ask yourself what hands you would call from OOP where you are not the preflop aggro? Any Ace? KQ? 55?



But if you check, V stay's active with a range where you are 70+% fave and you might pick up a few BBs along the way while limiting your loss if that is how it runs.
As PFR we should definitely be cbetting qj on AQ5 a large percentage. Especially if we opened in EP. Huge range advantage, and there are plenty of combos v will call we are ahead of. All 16 j10s, weaker Q's/ lots of sticky V's will call with PP. Added benefit of getting value from FD's and pair + backdoor draws
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05-18-2020 , 03:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by legionrainfall
You can get called with Q2oQT, I'd assume.
But, general rule of thumb seems to be "check if you have 2nd pair"
With hero = QJ and on flop of AQ5, the Ace will always call, and you lose.
Also, bet bigger if it's a draw board. Flop = 29Q, then bet 3/4 pot, not just 1/2.

The problem I have is fold equity.
With flop of AQ5, there is a good chance V does not have A.
So, by checking/folding your Q, you almost guarantee the V will take the pot.
I will C-bet flop with a Q, but if he calls, then I stop betting, and let V have the pot.
If you c-bet with a marginal hand like second pair, midling kicker, what do you check with? Only complete trash and super-premiums? You'll invite everyone to bet into your checks every time. Yes, you'll snap off an occasional win with your flopped set, but you're going to lose more than you win because you have so few bluff catchers, assuming you also lead out with good but not great hands like TPTK, over pairs, toopers, etc.

The hands you're listing as possible calls are definitely in V's range. Do you understand range and equity? I don't think I'm qualified to explain it, and won't do it sufficiently that you can walk away fully informed. But yes, V's range does have some calling hands, but JLiitle rates V's calling range as giving you 48% equity. You will win some of those hands you bet. Against a nit, you might win more of them. But you're going to lose more in the long run than you win.
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01-08-2021 , 08:58 PM
As a friendly game.
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01-09-2021 , 04:21 AM
01-11-2021 , 01:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by legionrainfall
This was madness.
Closed the session after this stupidity

Yatahay Network - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 250.5 BB
MP: 100 BB
CO: 86.5 BB
BTN: 140.5 BB
SB: 184 BB
Hero (BB): 81.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T T

fold, fold, CO raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 5 BB, CO raises to 12.5 BB, Hero calls 7.5 BB

Flop: (25.5 BB, 2 players) Q A A
Hero bets 12.5 BB, CO calls 12.5 BB

Turn: (50.5 BB, 2 players) K
Hero bets 25 BB, CO calls 25 BB

River: (100.5 BB, 2 players) J
Hero bets 31.5 BB and is all-in, CO calls 31.5 BB

CO shows K A (Full House, Aces full of Kings)
(Pre 43%, Flop 89%, Turn 98%)
Hero shows T T (Straight, Ace High)
(Pre 57%, Flop 11%, Turn 2%)
CO wins 155.5 BB
I agree there was stupidly here but not where you think. PF standard - you open he 3 bets. You donk bet the flop. Did you really think with two overcards that you’re ahead of his range? JJ probably 3 bets, but very few other hands in his 3 bet range are behind you. He calls the donk bet, so JJ is much less likely.

From his point of view, QQ and AQ certainly are in your range. His AK is certainly too strong to fold and he’s got the range advantage so he’s certainly continuing. Raising probably is EV for him, but if he’s seen you stack off the way you did here in other hands I think the flat is fine.

Once he flats the flop, that only confirms his range advantage. He gains the nut advantage with the turn card. You keep betting; he has no reason to raise now - if he calls you’ll either bet the river or, since he’s got position he can value bet if you check. Of course you completely justify his line by stacking off on the river.
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01-11-2021 , 07:18 PM
Think about the extremes of the "only get called by better hands" theorem:

Your opponents only call with the nuts.

Your opponents call 100%

Your opponents raise 100%

Now how would you adjust from your baseline strategy vs these players?

I would bet 100% vs the first on the flop or turn as the first postflop bettor almost always.* I would bet vs the second more selectively than my baseline strategy. I would only bet hands that could stack off vs third opponent.

* the river is different. You need 50% equity or more vs opponents that raise often to value bet the river.

If we take the above concept and apply it to what happens in value/protection ranges when good players face off, we see metering effects on our various ev sources due to the tendencies. (high or low fold frequency. High or low raise frequency. High or low call frequency.)

These deviations result in ev transfer from the opponents stack to our stack.

Now if youre facing an opponent that carries a normal preflop range, but has a very tight range that continues vs a bet, you can bet very often on the flop or turn as the first postflop aggressor, unless they have a high raise frequency(remember the metering effect).

If you bet the flop vs such an opponent and get called, you should be very selective on the turn with both weaker value hands and weaker draws.

Thats my long winded way of showing why I think "only get called by better hands" is a fallacy on the flop and turn, but an axiom on the river.
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06-08-2021 , 03:58 PM
Anyone know a browser based poker game website where I can play with fake chips?
Not windows program, not mobile app.
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