Quote:
Originally Posted by legionrainfall
This statement confuses me.
You're not a psychic, and can't assume he has boat, or trips, or anything.
I am not a psychic, but I can make assumptions based on playing poker for several years, and by seeing what people show up with on the river in 3-bet pots.
If I'm in a 3-bet pot and the board is AQxxA, and I get raised on the river, my opponent almost always has an ace for trips, or he has a boat or quads. The reason I make this assumption is partly from experience, and partly from logic.
If someone (i.e. you) is betting the river on AQxxA in a 3-bet pot, you're representing that you have AK/AJ or better. Ergo, it would be stupid for me to raise as a bluff, because you'll snap it off when you have AK. Hence, I would only raise with hands that can
beat AK so that I can win a big pot when my raise gets called.
As Kurn said:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kurn, son of Mogh
One typical beginners' misconception of poker is thinking opponents bluff way more than they do in reality.
You shouldn't be bluffing much at all in the micros, least of all on the river. The way to beat the microstakes (like the nits do) is to play quite straightforwardly. Bet and raise when you have the best hand and villain will call with worse, check and call when you're unsure or are in the middle of your range, or when you're up against an aggrofish that will spew off all his chips needlessly, check and fold when you're at the bottom of your range. No one makes money in the micros by making senseless bluffs with middle pair.
If you keep playing huge pots with weak hands, you're just valueowning/value-cutting yourself and giving all your money to the nits.