Quote:
Originally Posted by W0900418
Maybe I explained it wrong, but I do understand the responses. A bit more of details, I loss 10 out of 12 times that I shoved all in preflop with pocket Aces, in the last 4 months, that is why I want to fold them now preflop going against 4 or more players. It was at a 1/2nl game with $350 plus of my chips where my Aces were cracked. One time it was just $80 which was great, no problem, but the other times they busted me, and my momentum of playing solid poker. The math says in the long run I will win, but at this point I do not believe it for me. Since then, I slowed down, I had them two times since this post, one time I just called with them and was able to let them go because there was 4 cards same suit for a flush draw, easy fold. The 2nd time I slow played again, and I let them go on an aggressive bet from a tight player, and he showed me 2 pair when I folded.
So, I plan to slow down, but deep down I want to shove all in, but I am getting killed bad. If I would have folded or played slower in the past, I would not have loss all my chips. But I am running bad with the all in preflop with multiple players.
Sounds like you need to Google the term “gamblers fallacy”. The fact that you have lost with aces when shoving PF and getting 4 callers over the past few instances is irrelevant to whether it will happen again next time. And like I tried to explain before, that 10 out of 12 losses is not really all that unexpected. You are not favored to win in a spot with aces against four callers. Just as some sample math, I assumed you had an average equity of 40% with your aces. Your chances of losing 10 or more times out of 12 hands is about 8%. That is not likely, but it also is not a horrifically bad run either — such events happen when you play enough hands.
And yes, please tell the forum where the hell you are playing that you can get 4 callers when you shove AA preflop. We might want to arrange a road trip.