Open Side Menu Go to the Top

05-28-2018 , 05:07 PM
Hello all,

I have the WSOP app and I read the tip which said:
"When you flop a 4 flush you have a 34.5% / 1.9:1 chance of hitting it on the turn.
Which seems to use the rule of 9 outs x 4 adjust and river 9 x 2

Yet I have another set of odds that say if you flop a four flush that on
the turn: 4.22:1 or 19.16%
the river: 4.1:1 or 19.57%

47 unseen cards / 9 outs so 38:9 reduced to 4.22:1...

Which is correct?

Thank you.
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
Flush on the Turn and River
$25m Guaranteed WPM on CoinPoker
Join the action now
Daily Rewards • Splash Pots • CoinRaces
Flush on the Turn and River
05-28-2018 , 05:10 PM
The second one. About 19% on the turn then slightly higher on the river
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
05-28-2018 , 05:53 PM
The first one is wrong – what it should say is that if you have 4 of a suit on the flop, you have a ~34% chance of hitting your flush on the turn OR river if you see both cards.

After the turn is dealt, assuming it didn't complete your flush, you then have a ~19% of hitting it on the river.

Individually they are very similar probabilities because the situation is almost unchanged, except that on the river you have knowledge of one more card (the turn).
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
05-28-2018 , 06:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Highspirit1978
quoted post deleted by Lego05
Useful post.

This is the "Beginners questions" forum.

Last edited by Lego05; 05-28-2018 at 06:25 PM.
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
05-28-2018 , 06:50 PM
Thank you for the answers and I know what forum I posted in.. this can help beginners as well..
oc1012 and warped, thank you for your help..
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
05-28-2018 , 07:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by theKryptonian
Thank you for the answers and I know what forum I posted in.. this can help beginners as well..
oc1012 and warped, thank you for your help..
Highspirit was not responding to you. He was responding to a post by another poster that I deleted. Such deleted post was not useful (highspirit was being sarcastic with that).
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
Flush on the Turn and River
$25m Guaranteed WPM on CoinPoker
Join the action now
Daily Rewards • Splash Pots • CoinRaces
Flush on the Turn and River

      
m