Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Flush on the Turn and River
$25m Guaranteed WPM on CoinPoker
Join the action now
Flush on the Turn and River
FAQ Today's Posts Search Twitter Discord
Flush on the Turn and River
$25m Guaranteed WPM on CoinPoker
Join the action now
Flush on the Turn and River
Register
Flush on the Turn and River Flush on the Turn and River
Post Reply Subscribe
...
05-28-2018 , 05:07 PM
#1
theKryptonian
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By theKryptonian Find Threads By theKryptonian
stranger
Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 7
Hello all,

I have the WSOP app and I read the tip which said:
"When you flop a 4 flush you have a 34.5% / 1.9:1 chance of hitting it on the turn.
Which seems to use the rule of 9 outs x 4 adjust and river 9 x 2

Yet I have another set of odds that say if you flop a four flush that on
the turn: 4.22:1 or 19.16%
the river: 4.1:1 or 19.57%

47 unseen cards / 9 outs so 38:9 reduced to 4.22:1...

Which is correct?

Thank you.
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
Flush on the Turn and River
$25m Guaranteed WPM on CoinPoker
Join the action now
Daily Rewards • Splash Pots • CoinRaces
Flush on the Turn and River
05-28-2018 , 05:10 PM
#2
warped
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By warped Find Threads By warped
grinder
Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 649
The second one. About 19% on the turn then slightly higher on the river
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
05-28-2018 , 05:53 PM
#3
OC1012's Avatar
OC1012
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By OC1012 Find Threads By OC1012
centurion
Join Date: May 2017 Posts: 107
The first one is wrong – what it should say is that if you have 4 of a suit on the flop, you have a ~34% chance of hitting your flush on the turn OR river if you see both cards.

After the turn is dealt, assuming it didn't complete your flush, you then have a ~19% of hitting it on the river.

Individually they are very similar probabilities because the situation is almost unchanged, except that on the river you have knowledge of one more card (the turn).
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
05-28-2018 , 06:00 PM
#4
OC1012's Avatar
OC1012
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By OC1012 Find Threads By OC1012
centurion
Join Date: May 2017 Posts: 107
Quote:
Originally Posted by Highspirit1978
quoted post deleted by Lego05
Useful post.

This is the "Beginners questions" forum.
Last edited by Lego05; 05-28-2018 at 06:25 PM.
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
05-28-2018 , 06:50 PM
#5
theKryptonian
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By theKryptonian Find Threads By theKryptonian
stranger
Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 7
Thank you for the answers and I know what forum I posted in.. this can help beginners as well..
oc1012 and warped, thank you for your help..
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
05-28-2018 , 07:11 PM
#6
Lego05
View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Lego05 Find Threads By Lego05
Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 25,682
Quote:
Originally Posted by theKryptonian
Thank you for the answers and I know what forum I posted in.. this can help beginners as well..
oc1012 and warped, thank you for your help..
Highspirit was not responding to you. He was responding to a post by another poster that I deleted. Such deleted post was not useful (highspirit was being sarcastic with that).
Flush on the Turn and River Quote
Flush on the Turn and River
$25m Guaranteed WPM on CoinPoker
Join the action now
Daily Rewards • Splash Pots • CoinRaces
Flush on the Turn and River
Post Reply Subscribe
...
      
Feedback is used for internal purposes. LEARN MORE
Contact Us Privacy Statement TOS
Top
Powered by:  Hand2Note
Copyright ©2008-2022, Hand2Note Interactive LTD
m