Quote:
Originally Posted by Mat the Gambler
Intermediate poker is all about level 2 thinking. What do you think villain has? He called a pre-flop raise from the BB, and checked a K42 board. What percentage of the time do you think he has a king? If you think he has a king, you have to bet. If you think he doesn't have a king, then you're going to want to bet some of the time and check some of the time, depending on how often you think villain will bluff on the turn. The more likely you think he is to bluff, the more often you should check.
Without any reads, I'd bet here and hope he has a K. If he doesn't, you're probably not going to be winning much anyway.
This is why auto-cbetting 100% used to be the way to go. The range for calling a (min)raise from the BB vs BTN is probably the widest calling range in the entire game at any single point during a hand and therefor it will not do well on a dry K42 flop.
Nowadays more people understand that if you just checkfold when you don't have a king or anything that comes close button can just cbet 100% of the time and print money.
The average hand strength on this flop is just very weak and
if you're cbetting this flop a very high percentage of the time (which you should I think) then bottom two is a great hand to start betting for balance.