Fees,
I played this hand last night against a reg that I have a lot of reads on.
This was about the 3rd hand since he sat down and with him being directly on my left I clicked the "sit out next blind button."
Anyways. He likes to 3 bet when he has a good A (AK, AQ, AJ, and AT occasionally) as well as KQ and KJ from time to time from the button if the initial raiser either raises a lot or is attempting to steal. He tends to call with PP and SC a lot of the time.
He does tend to float or raise a decent % of my cbets (damn regs sitting on my left).
Villain (bttn): $24.65
SB: $17.50
BB: $24.35
UTG: $7.50
Hero (MP): $34.15
CO: $45.25
Pre-Flop: 8
8
dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, Hero raises to $1, CO folds, Villain calls, SB fiolds, BB folds
Flop: ($2.25) A
7
3
(2 Players)
Hero bets $1.75, Villain calls
Turn: ($5.55) 2
(2 Players)
Hero bets $4.00, Villain calls
River: ($13.15) A
(2 Players)
Hero bets $6.5
I decided to cbet (even against someone who floats and raises a lot) because if Im not going to do it on this flop I might as well just never do it.
I dont want to show what he did but given my reads that he tends to set mine with PP when in position and 3 bet hands like KQ+ and strong As is this spot. Is firing the 3rd barrel good here? I am almost certain he doesnt have an A (unless he decided to play A7 or A3). But the only way he was playing either A7 or A3 is if its suited so that leaves 1 combination of both A
7
or A
3
. I feel with how agressive he is he would raise the turn when both straight and flush draws came up if he flopped a set of 3s or 7s. But I feel he would also raise with any 2 pair hands.
So is this river (bluff?) a good bet on my part?