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Expected win rate at 2nl Expected win rate at 2nl

04-01-2014 , 02:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheDefiniteArticle
Sick bump [2]

I think 15bb/100 is still easily possible at 2NL, probably 25bb if you table select well and play just a couple of tables.

$1000 is 50k bb, so the answer is between (50k/0.25) and (50k/0.15), which is 200k < x < 330k.
Chipstar1 was a top 2NL grinder back in the day (before he became a PS pro in 2010) and his win rate was ~21bb/100

Quote:
Originally Posted by chip-star

my graph of $2nl back in the day

(^^ chad's PGC thread )

Given that its 5+ years on, and the games even at 2NL have probably gotten a little better, and this was before the rake changes that hit 2NL very hard were implemented (Hold on Pokerstars, when did you start raking these pots?)

I haven't played 2NL for a while, so I can't say for sure, but I'd think that 15bb/100 would be hard for all but the top grinders.
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04-01-2014 , 02:38 PM
Lol 2NL.
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04-01-2014 , 03:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by obviously.bogus
Chipstar1 was a top 2NL grinder back in the day (before he became a PS pro in 2010) and his win rate was ~21bb/100


(^^ chad's PGC thread )

Given that its 5+ years on, and the games even at 2NL have probably gotten a little better, and this was before the rake changes that hit 2NL very hard were implemented (Hold on Pokerstars, when did you start raking these pots?)

I haven't played 2NL for a while, so I can't say for sure, but I'd think that 15bb/100 would be hard for all but the top grinders.
I think 20bb/100 is still perfectly achievable for good players if you play less than 15 tables and do some very basic table selection.

I've played a lot of 2nl FR last year to build two BR because I didn't want to make any deposit. I was above 20bb/100 over 40k hand sample (2nl brag !) with a 6.5% rake. My rake adjusted winrate was something like 35bb/100.
I'm also pretty sure that some other BQ 2+2ers have reported similar winrates, which makes me think that 15bb/100 is likely to be sustainable.

However, such winrates are probably only possible thanks to drunk guys who drop you 5BI over 30 hands.
Expected win rate at 2nl Quote
04-01-2014 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Babarberousse
However, such winrates are probably only possible thanks to drunk guys who drop you 5BI over 30 hands.
Unfortunately I was too often that drunk guy


.

Last edited by obviously.bogus; 04-01-2014 at 05:09 PM. Reason: that and runnung into thrice betting maniac BQers ,,,
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04-01-2014 , 07:08 PM
I'll try it and post some graphs once in awhile
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04-02-2014 , 09:59 AM
I played 16/100 over 60k hands when started, so good players can easily achieve 20+
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04-03-2014 , 06:01 AM
I still play these games from time to time and have a fair bit of experience in the past lol. My lifetime winrate (99% 24 tabling) is 30bb/100. Way back in the day (5 years ago) it was closer to 40bb/100. In today's games, probably 20bb/100. I only 4 table bumhunt now though in a vain attempt to relive past glories. Triple digit bb/100 winrate confirmed still possible.
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04-03-2014 , 06:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlackRain
I still play these games from time to time and have a fair bit of experience in the past lol. My lifetime winrate (99% 24 tabling) is 30bb/100. Way back in the day (5 years ago) it was closer to 40bb/100. In today's games, probably 20bb/100. I only 4 table bumhunt now though in a vain attempt to relive past glories. Triple digit bb/100 winrate confirmed still possible.
Someone told me that you had a - winrate at 100K hands. Is that true?

The reason he told me that was to show that even the best microstakes players, took a while to learn how to play well.
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04-03-2014 , 06:23 AM
If it is true the difference is that long ago there weren't loads of free resources on the internet on how to play good. If you're not beating 2nl after putting in a month of work then you're doing it wrong.

And 20bb is easily achievable.
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04-03-2014 , 06:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MMSS
If it is true the difference is that long ago there weren't loads of free resources on the internet on how to play good. If you're not beating 2nl after putting in a month of work then you're doing it wrong.

And 20bb is easily achievable.
Thanks for clarifying this MMSS...if only BlackRain had you to guide him in the early days eh...
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04-03-2014 , 06:30 AM
Feel free to pm me for coaching, $50/hr
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04-03-2014 , 06:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DJAbacus
Someone told me that you had a - winrate at 100K hands. Is that true?

The reason he told me that was to show that even the best microstakes players, took a while to learn how to play well.
I have had a handful of 100k+ hand breakeven stretches at way higher stakes than NL2 while mass multi-tabling yes. These were all millions of hands into my poker career and in the last couple of years as the games got a bit harder.

Starting at the lowest stakes though many years ago I never had any trouble. I just killed them right away. NL2 is still just a circus. I think the longest breakeven I ever had was 10k hands and this is over millions of hands. When you are talking about winrates of 20bb/100, 30bb/100 or more you don't really even have losing days assuming big volume.
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04-03-2014 , 07:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlackRain
I have had a handful of 100k+ hand breakeven stretches at way higher stakes than NL2 while mass multi-tabling yes. These were all millions of hands into my poker career and in the last couple of years as the games got a bit harder.

Starting at the lowest stakes though many years ago I never had any trouble. I just killed them right away. NL2 is still just a circus. I think the longest breakeven I ever had was 10k hands and this is over millions of hands. When you are talking about winrates of 20bb/100, 30bb/100 or more you don't really even have losing days assuming big volume.
I thought they may have been a misquote...now we know the truth!!

Great Book btw...really enjoying it...reading sections and rereading it as I play...hasn't all sunk in yet though, but it will and its definitely helping, especially some of the post flop stuff. Not feeling like a fish out of water anymore
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