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@antialias Didace has a point. When the guy in early position folded after the flop action came back to him He Was Not Holding an Ace and he defintely didnt have a set.
True. But when mid bet on the flop he didn't know this and both ranges ogf Utg+2 and cutoff are ace-heavy. So the bet seems a bit reckless to me.
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I guess one of the points here is That AS PLAYED the Mid Postion Guy almost has to call the turn jam with 11 outs and only 50 behind. Agreed ?
Yes, as played a call is OK. (But to make this clear: I think the hand was not played well by mid)
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I also think that AS PLAYED the Late Postion guys jam looks like a possiable flush or a more likely Semi Bluff.
A (semi)bluff into someone who has 3bet pre and then bet flop and turn with little money behind? A (semi)bluff only has value when there is fold equity. I can see none here.
Consider with what he must have called before (a 3bet pre and a flop bet) to arrive with a semibluff on the turn: A backdoor flush draw - and even one without the possibility of holding the nut flush draw. Not likely.
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To Me it looks like late Holds something like A Jd or A 10d.
Why would he jam these? Mid could - as played - very well hold AK or AQ and unlikely a bluff since he bet into two people on the flop.
With a possible flush on the board and mid still betting on the turn it's also very likely that if he has such holdings then the K or Q is a diamond against which AxTd or AxJd would be a 14:1 underdog(!)
Last edited by antialias; 09-28-2021 at 08:06 PM.