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Old 08-05-2020, 01:04 PM   #1
Pinhead22
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Three Card Poker Odds - any stat people here?

I'm not good at statistics, but I can't seem to find an answer anywhere and was going one of the math people here can help.

Last night at Agua Caliente my girlfriend was playing Three Card Poker and got dealt 3-Of-A- Kind then on the very next hand got dealt a Straight Flush. Does anyone know a way to figure out the odds on having those hands back to back?

Marc
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Old 08-05-2020, 01:38 PM   #2
Whatever695
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Re: Three Card Poker Odds - any stat people here?

0.2% x 0.2% = 0.04% chance of occurring. 1 in 2500 odds would be another way to understand it.
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Old 08-06-2020, 11:20 AM   #3
Lattimer
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Re: Three Card Poker Odds - any stat people here?

You multiply the decimals, not percentages.

0.002 * 0.002 = 0.000004 or 0.0004% or 1 in 250,000

That's rounded though. Technically it is:

52/22100 * 48/22100 = ~0.0000051 or ~0.000511% or 1 in ~195,677

You multiply the probabilities of 3OAK and SF from the table here: https://wizardofodds.com/games/three-card-poker/
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