Quote:
Originally Posted by acesholdup
The only way to "walk away" is to quit for good. What is the difference between playing a thousand hands ten hands at a time or in one sitting? Your person with 100K has a very real chance to take the house for a few hundred a day and a very real chance to go bust. He also has a very real chance to sit down and take them for half a million in one sitting or to go bust. The chance to go bust is proportionally greater in each scenario so called "bankroll discipline" which consists of driving home/shutting off your monitor every now and then has nothing to do with it.
You also weren't on the freak side of variance. A .300 hitter or average 3 pt shooter had like a week where they weren't missing. That's the extent of the "freak" variance you experienced. It's a yawner.
We could argue about this all day, every day but I will agree to disagree. Yes, blackjack is known as a -EV game without counting. Yet, I know someone who does exactly that. I've done it short-term, the longest being 3 months. He does it consistently. Not everyone can do it. I can't. But I believe it can be done. Can't deny it when you know someone for ten years who does it. I do not know a soul who can consistently be a winner at slots or any other casino game. But blackjack without counting, CSM, I do. Every now and then I'll attempt another epic run but tilt or greed usually ends it.
I should retract one thing I said in a previous post -- yes, you do have to get "lucky"/ride your streaks.
Stats show that not everyone can become a billionaire despite the odds. Surprise, there's some people that actually can. So I believe that too. Things can be done by some that most others cannot do.