I believe this game is unbeatbale, playing against the computer.
HOWEVER, I was a dealer(cards
) for a number of years, and this is the only game I play.
I believe you can win consistantly. I have noticed four factors that tip the scales and a fifth extreme factor. I have consistantly won against the house for about a year now. Of course playing the hands correctly - 4X bets, etc. (Not every visit, but overall, I am up considerably)
1. NOT sharing of hands with other players is almost never enforced (very slight help, not enough to tip the scales). I really do not adjust play much, I am not playing against them. If all the players are staying in, it is less likely the dealer has caught a hand however. If you have an ace, and the player next to you has an ace, do you bet less? probably not.
2. In my casino, the player rewards are very high for length of play with this game compared to other table games (not a major deal, but it all ads up if you play a ton) I get free play monthly, and reward play I can cash out or spend at the casino restaraunts, etc.
3. You can adjust your bet amount during play. If you bet low on the losing hands, and higher on the winning hands, you can start tipping the scales slightly. Very hard to time it though. Keep betting low until "the worm turns". As a dealer, I have seen this phenomenon OFTEN. No mathmatecal explanation, but anyone that has played for any length of time will see this... This game is streaky. Ever see one guy at the table keep winning and winning no matter what junk he is dealt? (no matter how bad he is playing) Sometimes it's the whole table. Same when losing, it seems no matter how good the first two cards are, or what the final cards are, you lose. When you are on a bender, have the courage to increase your bets. This is hard because most people are waiting for the "hammer to fall". Or, you can't win or lose, staying even. Hard to bet, but try to raise your bet after a loss... win, and then back down again. Or find another table. Preferrably one that you see players tipping the dealer.
4. Here is the REAL factor that tips the scales... Innevitably dealers make mistakes. I've seen it with blackjack, but the mistake is only on the $5 bet, and less often. It is multiplied with this game because of the 4X bet and the complexity of the payouts and determining a winning hand. PLUS, I have
never seen a pit boss get a call from security on UTH when a dealer makes a mistake. I have seen it with blackjack. I tend to sit in the first position because it is the position the most mistakes are made. By the time he pays/takes the first five hands, the dealer is more likely to forget his/her hand. A little bend of ethics, I know, but easily justified if you have funded the casino in the past, or have any idea of how the casinos operate. If you wanted to be particularrily slippery, watch the dealers and sit at tables you see the dealers taking a long time to figure out their hands.
5. The last trick is flat out cheating "by accident". I have actually accidently put a double bet on the last play, or four bet after the flop (ussually after a couple free drinks). I realized it after, but still got paid on it. A distracted inexperienced dealer with a full table sometimes will not notice a wrong bet after the flop, or the last bet. I noticed this on accident and have not been deperate enough to deliberately do this. DO NOT CAP, this will eventually get caught, and you will be banned.
In a recent trip to the casino, the dealer had made enough mistakes to add up to a $300 swing in wrong payouts/pushes. I lost count after $300. The funny thing was, I still lost some that day, but it would have been MUCH worse. Next time I went, I killed it. I would not have had enough bankroll to come the next day if the dealer was 100%. That was extreme, but
I have not gone to the casino where mistakes were not made with this game. I don't think the cameras catch it because the people watching the cameras may not understand the game fully. Even at the minimum $5 bet with a 4X bet, you are putting out $30 (assuming you dont play the trips) If the dealer pays when he is supposed to take, then that is a $50 swing. When the dealer is particularly bad, I may even play the trips with a small bet.
At any rate, I always give some of my winnings back to the dealers. I always tip when I am up. The dealers share tips in my casino, and their pay has gotten worse over the last ten years, not better. Plus the casino has taken away perks and other incentives to work there. I quit working at the casino about eight years ago, and am SO glad I am not working there now. I know long term this will cost me a decent amount of money, but I am not greedy and it is really appreciated by the dealers. Good luck all.