Quote:
Originally Posted by FRGCardinal
If an aunt claimed she is a long-term winner at baccarat and decided to teach you how she does it, how many simulated shoes would you need to feel confident the system was valid, and how many units would be reasonable for a given +EV system to return per shoe?
It doesn't take any, since the rules of Baccarat define a -EV game. No betting system can change the EV of the game.
That doesn't preclude the possibility that someone can get lucky long term, and then survivorship bias makes them believe their system is a winner when it isn't. Many system books have been sold by survivors who played -EV games but were in the tiny majority at the far end of the variance curve.